Suofeiya Home Collection Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 002572 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

002572 (CN¥16.87) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (CN¥33.33)

Is 002572 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 002572 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002572 (CN¥16.87) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥33.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002572 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 002572?

Key metric: As 002572 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 002572. This is calculated by dividing 002572's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 002572's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	13.2x
Earnings	CN¥1.23b
Market Cap	CN¥16.25b

002572 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	8.6x
PEG Ratio	1.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 002572's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 002572 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	17x
001323 De Rucci Healthy Sleep	18.7x	7.3%	CN¥15.0b
603816 Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd	11.7x	11.0%	CN¥21.8b
301061 MotoMotion China	17.4x	19.3%	CN¥9.0b
301376 Ziel Home Furnishing Technology	20x	26.4%	CN¥8.1b
002572 Suofeiya Home Collection	13.2x	8.8%	CN¥16.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002572 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.2x) compared to the peer average (17x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 002572's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Consumer Durables Industry?

1 Company	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
002473 Ningbo Sunlight Electrical ApplianceLtd	3.5x	n/a	US$18.86m

No more companies available in this PE range

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002572 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.2x) compared to the CN Consumer Durables industry average (22.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 002572's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

002572 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	13.2x
Fair PE Ratio	16.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 002572 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 002572 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CN¥16.87	CN¥18.39 +9.0%	22.3%	CN¥25.74	CN¥12.00	n/a	12
Nov ’25	CN¥18.91	CN¥17.81 -5.8%	23.3%	CN¥25.74	CN¥12.00	n/a	12
Oct ’25	CN¥18.14	CN¥16.43 -9.4%	17.8%	CN¥22.77	CN¥12.00	n/a	12
Sep ’25	CN¥13.77	CN¥17.31 +25.7%	18.4%	CN¥22.77	CN¥12.00	n/a	12
Aug ’25	CN¥13.68	CN¥19.00 +38.9%	21.3%	CN¥26.00	CN¥12.88	n/a	12
Jul ’25	CN¥15.98	CN¥18.85 +17.9%	20.8%	CN¥26.00	CN¥12.88	n/a	13
Jun ’25	CN¥17.52	CN¥18.85 +7.6%	20.8%	CN¥26.00	CN¥12.88	n/a	13
May ’25	CN¥17.13	CN¥18.33 +7.0%	19.4%	CN¥24.00	CN¥12.88	n/a	13
Apr ’25	CN¥16.00	CN¥19.63 +22.7%	22.5%	CN¥26.27	CN¥12.88	n/a	13
Mar ’25	CN¥16.28	CN¥20.51 +26.0%	22.6%	CN¥26.27	CN¥12.88	n/a	13
Feb ’25	CN¥15.20	CN¥20.89 +37.4%	20.8%	CN¥26.27	CN¥12.88	n/a	13
Jan ’25	CN¥15.95	CN¥22.46 +40.8%	12.6%	CN¥26.27	CN¥17.50	n/a	13
Dec ’24	CN¥16.21	CN¥22.79 +40.6%	13.0%	CN¥27.05	CN¥17.50	n/a	14
Nov ’24	CN¥18.19	CN¥23.68 +30.2%	11.7%	CN¥27.05	CN¥18.00	CN¥18.91	14
Oct ’24	CN¥18.94	CN¥23.65 +24.9%	12.5%	CN¥27.05	CN¥18.00	CN¥18.14	14
Sep ’24	CN¥20.00	CN¥23.57 +17.8%	11.6%	CN¥27.05	CN¥18.00	CN¥13.77	14
Aug ’24	CN¥18.77	CN¥23.32 +24.3%	12.2%	CN¥27.05	CN¥18.00	CN¥13.68	14
Jul ’24	CN¥17.42	CN¥23.32 +33.9%	12.2%	CN¥27.05	CN¥18.00	CN¥15.98	14
Jun ’24	CN¥15.48	CN¥23.90 +54.4%	9.2%	CN¥27.05	CN¥19.20	CN¥17.52	14
May ’24	CN¥18.92	CN¥23.82 +25.9%	9.9%	CN¥27.05	CN¥18.20	CN¥17.13	14
Apr ’24	CN¥19.50	CN¥22.45 +15.1%	11.8%	CN¥27.05	CN¥18.00	CN¥16.00	13
Mar ’24	CN¥23.34	CN¥22.45 -3.8%	11.8%	CN¥27.05	CN¥18.00	CN¥16.28	13
Feb ’24	CN¥20.65	CN¥22.18 +7.4%	12.1%	CN¥27.05	CN¥18.00	CN¥15.20	13
Jan ’24	CN¥18.16	CN¥21.11 +16.3%	7.9%	CN¥24.00	CN¥18.20	CN¥15.95	13
Dec ’23	CN¥17.11	CN¥20.33 +18.8%	11.8%	CN¥24.00	CN¥13.73	CN¥16.21	13
Nov ’23	CN¥14.42	CN¥21.87 +51.7%	16.2%	CN¥28.80	CN¥13.73	CN¥18.19	13

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.