ExlService Holdings, Inc.

NasdaqGS:EXLS Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.1b

ExlService Holdings Valuation

Is EXLS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EXLS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EXLS ($37.92) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($58.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EXLS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EXLS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

EXLS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA22.7x
PEG Ratio2.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EXLS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EXLS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.4x
VRRM Verra Mobility
47.4x26.3%US$4.5b
MMS Maximus
19x0.9%US$5.5b
CNXC Concentrix
16.7x50.9%US$3.3b
G Genpact
10.7x-4.2%US$7.0b
EXLS ExlService Holdings
34.2x15.4%US$6.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EXLS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.2x) compared to the peer average (23.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EXLS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Professional Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EXLS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.2x) compared to the US Professional Services industry average (28.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EXLS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EXLS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio34.2x
Fair PE Ratio28.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EXLS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EXLS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$37.92
US$39.33
+3.7%
5.1%US$42.00US$35.00n/a9
Sep ’25US$36.54
US$38.22
+4.6%
5.2%US$41.00US$35.00n/a9
Aug ’25US$32.68
US$37.50
+14.7%
5.3%US$40.00US$34.00n/a9
Jul ’25US$31.20
US$36.61
+17.3%
6.4%US$40.00US$32.00n/a9
Jun ’25US$29.86
US$36.61
+22.6%
6.4%US$40.00US$32.00n/a9
May ’25US$29.07
US$35.94
+23.6%
6.0%US$40.00US$32.00n/a9
Apr ’25US$31.36
US$36.06
+15.0%
6.0%US$40.00US$32.00n/a9
Mar ’25US$31.75
US$35.83
+12.9%
5.7%US$40.00US$32.00n/a9
Feb ’25US$31.94
US$34.87
+9.2%
8.4%US$40.00US$28.00n/a9
Jan ’25US$30.85
US$33.98
+10.1%
10.0%US$40.00US$28.00n/a9
Dec ’24US$28.87
US$33.76
+16.9%
9.9%US$40.00US$28.00n/a9
Nov ’24US$25.92
US$33.76
+30.2%
9.9%US$40.00US$28.00n/a9
Oct ’24US$28.04
US$35.24
+25.7%
6.2%US$40.00US$32.40n/a9
Sep ’24US$29.30
US$35.53
+21.2%
6.1%US$40.00US$32.40US$36.548
Aug ’24US$28.21
US$35.43
+25.6%
6.5%US$40.00US$32.40US$32.688
Jul ’24US$30.21
US$37.98
+25.7%
5.8%US$40.20US$34.00US$31.208
Jun ’24US$30.56
US$37.98
+24.3%
5.8%US$40.20US$34.00US$29.868
May ’24US$35.10
US$37.98
+8.2%
5.8%US$40.20US$34.00US$29.078
Apr ’24US$32.37
US$37.25
+15.1%
7.3%US$40.00US$32.00US$31.368
Mar ’24US$32.65
US$37.25
+14.1%
7.3%US$40.00US$32.00US$31.758
Feb ’24US$33.86
US$36.95
+9.1%
7.9%US$40.00US$31.00US$31.948
Jan ’24US$33.89
US$36.70
+8.3%
9.4%US$40.00US$29.00US$30.858
Dec ’23US$37.07
US$36.58
-1.3%
9.2%US$40.00US$29.00US$28.878
Nov ’23US$36.84
US$35.58
-3.4%
9.9%US$40.00US$29.00US$25.928
Oct ’23US$29.47
US$33.55
+13.8%
10.8%US$39.20US$28.00US$28.048
Sep ’23US$33.64
US$33.65
+0.04%
10.7%US$39.20US$28.00US$29.308

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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