Dongfeng Motor Group Company Limited

SEHK:489 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$78.7b

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Dongfeng Motor Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Dongfeng Motor Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 81.6% and 19.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 81.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 1.2% in 3 years.

Key information

81.6%

Earnings growth rate

81.49%

EPS growth rate

Auto earnings growth18.4%
Revenue growth rate19.7%
Future return on equity1.18%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated19 Mar 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Analysis Article Oct 22

Is Dongfeng Motor Group (HKG:489) A Risky Investment?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article Sep 17

Are Investors Undervaluing Dongfeng Motor Group Company Limited (HKG:489) By 34%?

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Dongfeng Motor Group fair value estimate is HK$13.62 Current...
Analysis Article Aug 12

Revenues Not Telling The Story For Dongfeng Motor Group Company Limited (HKG:489) After Shares Rise 60%

SEHK:489 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Dongfeng Motor Group's Fair Values from the Community and select...
Analysis Article Jun 23

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Dongfeng Motor Group Company Limited (HKG:489) As Shares Slide 25%

Dongfeng Motor Group Company Limited ( HKG:489 ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SEHK:489 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027189,4362,172N/A21,8863
12/31/2026162,8221,550N/A22,0583
12/31/2025133,1361,203N/A26,6613
9/30/2025120,969-1,312-13,8074,513N/A
6/30/2025109,585-571-8,8698,453N/A
3/31/2025107,891-256-4,60612,926N/A
12/31/2024106,19758-34317,399N/A
9/30/2024105,288-4,770-2,6669,399N/A
6/30/2024104,888-4,5176,08616,172N/A
3/31/2024102,136-4,2021,27712,713N/A
12/31/202399,383-3,887-3,5339,253N/A
9/30/202394,4552,754-3,6145,406N/A
6/30/202393,9076,079-8,4813,044N/A
3/31/202393,2858,172-4,9854,803N/A
12/31/202292,66310,265-1,4906,562N/A
9/30/202290,0909,2734,13111,576N/A
6/30/202287,5178,2809,75216,589N/A
3/31/2022100,3439,8375,98512,741N/A
12/31/2021113,16811,3932,2178,893N/A
9/30/2021120,54013,561N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2021127,91215,728-14,790-7,066N/A
3/31/2021118,17713,243-9,363-2,977N/A
12/31/2020108,44110,758-3,9361,111N/A
9/30/2020105,8299,380N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2020103,2168,002-8,194-3,016N/A
3/31/2020102,15210,430-12,463-7,285N/A
12/31/2019101,08712,858-16,733-11,555N/A
9/30/201998,07813,134-22,050-17,259N/A
6/30/201995,06813,410N/A-22,963N/A
3/31/201999,80613,195N/A-22,606N/A
12/31/2018104,54312,979N/A-22,249N/A
9/30/2018115,34814,043N/A-13,524N/A
6/30/2018126,15315,106N/A-4,800N/A
3/31/2018126,06714,584N/A-577N/A
12/31/2017125,98014,061N/A3,646N/A
9/30/2017124,56413,839N/A2,431N/A
6/30/2017123,14813,616N/A1,216N/A
3/31/2017122,84213,481N/A2,427N/A
12/31/2016122,53513,345N/A3,638N/A
9/30/2016120,19212,381N/A21N/A
6/30/2016117,84911,417N/A-3,597N/A
3/31/2016122,20811,484N/A-1,519N/A
12/31/2015126,56611,550N/A558N/A
9/30/2015121,49811,366N/A2,346N/A
6/30/2015116,43011,182N/A4,134N/A
3/31/201599,77211,990N/A1,681N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 489 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.9%).

Earnings vs Market: 489 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: 489 is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 489's revenue (19.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (8.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 489's revenue (19.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 489's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (1.2%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/03/19 21:36
End of Day Share Price 2026/03/10 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Dongfeng Motor Group Company Limited is covered by 27 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yang SongBarclays
Robin ZhuBernstein
Ke QuCCB International Securities Limited