ValiantLtd Valuation

Is 002643 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 002643 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002643 (CN¥11.04) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥14.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002643 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 002643?

Key metric: As 002643 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 002643. This is calculated by dividing 002643's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 002643's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21.2x
EarningsCN¥483.51m
Market CapCN¥10.27b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 002643's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 002643 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average52.7x
688116 Jiangsu Cnano Technology
43.4x38.5%CN¥13.8b
002010 Transfar Zhilian
34.5x32.2%CN¥11.2b
300741 Huabao Flavours & Fragrances
46.7xn/aCN¥11.0b
300398 PhiChem
86.2x38.1%CN¥9.3b
002643 ValiantLtd
21.2x26.4%CN¥10.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002643 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.2x) compared to the peer average (52.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 002643's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
002643 21.2xIndustry Avg. 37.4xNo. of Companies42PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002643 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.2x) compared to the CN Chemicals industry average (37.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 002643's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

002643 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.2x
Fair PE Ratio23.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 002643 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 002643 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥11.04
CN¥12.75
+15.5%
14.3%CN¥15.00CN¥10.50n/a4
Nov ’25CN¥10.16
CN¥12.33
+21.4%
15.6%CN¥15.00CN¥10.50n/a3
Oct ’25CN¥10.37
CN¥13.75
+32.6%
21.6%CN¥18.00CN¥10.50n/a4
Sep ’25CN¥8.50
CN¥13.75
+61.8%
21.6%CN¥18.00CN¥10.50n/a4
Aug ’25CN¥9.44
CN¥18.25
+93.3%
13.6%CN¥22.00CN¥15.00n/a4
Jul ’25CN¥9.94
CN¥18.25
+83.6%
13.6%CN¥22.00CN¥15.00n/a4
Jun ’25CN¥11.61
CN¥18.25
+57.2%
13.6%CN¥22.00CN¥15.00n/a4
May ’25CN¥11.51
CN¥18.31
+59.1%
12.2%CN¥22.00CN¥15.00n/a5
Apr ’25CN¥13.86
CN¥22.34
+61.2%
15.8%CN¥28.50CN¥18.00n/a6
Mar ’25CN¥15.19
CN¥22.34
+47.1%
15.8%CN¥28.50CN¥18.00n/a6
Feb ’25CN¥12.94
CN¥22.34
+72.6%
15.8%CN¥28.50CN¥18.00n/a6
Jan ’25CN¥16.59
CN¥23.54
+41.9%
12.9%CN¥28.50CN¥18.54n/a6
Dec ’24CN¥16.14
CN¥23.54
+45.8%
12.9%CN¥28.50CN¥18.54n/a6
Nov ’24CN¥16.97
CN¥23.26
+37.1%
12.7%CN¥28.50CN¥18.54CN¥10.166
Oct ’24CN¥17.26
CN¥23.26
+34.8%
12.7%CN¥28.50CN¥18.54CN¥10.376
Sep ’24CN¥17.50
CN¥23.26
+32.9%
12.7%CN¥28.50CN¥18.54CN¥8.506
Aug ’24CN¥18.09
CN¥22.41
+23.9%
9.7%CN¥25.00CN¥18.54CN¥9.445
Jul ’24CN¥17.41
CN¥22.41
+28.7%
9.7%CN¥25.00CN¥18.54CN¥9.945
Jun ’24CN¥16.15
CN¥22.86
+41.5%
6.2%CN¥25.00CN¥20.77CN¥11.615
May ’24CN¥18.31
CN¥22.86
+24.8%
6.2%CN¥25.00CN¥20.77CN¥11.515
Apr ’24CN¥17.23
CN¥22.69
+31.7%
9.5%CN¥25.60CN¥20.47CN¥13.863
Mar ’24CN¥17.86
CN¥22.69
+27.0%
9.5%CN¥25.60CN¥20.47CN¥15.193
Feb ’24CN¥18.82
CN¥22.69
+20.6%
9.5%CN¥25.60CN¥20.47CN¥12.943
Jan ’24CN¥14.66
CN¥22.69
+54.8%
9.5%CN¥25.60CN¥20.47CN¥16.593
Dec ’23CN¥16.82
CN¥22.69
+34.9%
9.5%CN¥25.60CN¥20.47CN¥16.143
Nov ’23CN¥14.19
CN¥25.08
+76.8%
9.3%CN¥27.65CN¥22.00CN¥16.973

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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