Adore Beauty Group Future Growth
Future criteria checks 1/6
Adore Beauty Group is forecast to grow revenue at 6.9% per annum.
Key information
n/a
Earnings growth rate
n/a
EPS growth rate
| Specialty Retail earnings growth | 11.0% |
| Revenue growth rate | 6.9% |
| Future return on equity | 6.17% |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 05 Jun 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Apr 25
ABY: Stable Assumptions And Margins Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have made only minor tweaks to their underlying assumptions for Adore Beauty Group, keeping their fair value view effectively unchanged and resulting in a steady A$1.00 price target for the shares. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Model fair value remains unchanged at A$1.00 per share.Narrative Update • Apr 11
ABY: Higher Discount Rate Assumptions Will Still Support Long Term Profitability
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Adore Beauty Group from about A$1.27 to A$1.00. This reflects slightly higher discount rate assumptions and lower profit margin expectations, partly offset by adjustments to revenue growth and future P/E inputs.Narrative Update • Mar 27
ABY: Stable Forecast Assumptions Will Support Stronger Long Term Profitability
Analysts have maintained their A$1.27 price target on Adore Beauty Group, citing largely unchanged assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, along with a slightly revised discount rate. Valuation Changes Fair Value: The A$1.27 fair value estimate is unchanged, indicating no shift in the overall valuation anchor used in the model.Narrative Update • Mar 13
ABY: New CFO Appointment Will Support Stronger Long Term Profitability
Analysts have maintained their A$1.27 price target for Adore Beauty Group, citing only minor adjustments to assumptions such as the discount rate, long term revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E multiples as the reason for keeping their valuation unchanged. Valuation Changes Fair Value: A$1.27 remains unchanged based on the updated assumptions.
New Narrative • Mar 12
Store Expansion And Owned Brands Will Reshape This Omnichannel Beauty Retailer
Catalysts About Adore Beauty Group Adore Beauty Group operates an omnichannel beauty retail business supported by an e commerce platform, a growing physical store network, and higher margin owned brands. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Feb 26
ABY: New CFO Appointment Will Support Stronger Long Term Profitability
Analysts have reduced their price target on Adore Beauty Group from A$1.53 to A$1.27, citing updated assumptions that include a higher discount rate, a lower profit margin, a slightly higher expected revenue growth rate, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Adore Beauty Group Limited appointed Marcus Crowe as Chief Financial Officer, with the role effective from 27 January 2026 (Key Developments).
New Narrative • Feb 26
Store Rollout And Margin Pressures Will Eventually Reward Long Term Patience
Catalysts About Adore Beauty Group Adore Beauty Group operates an omnichannel beauty retail business with ecommerce, physical stores, and higher margin owned brands. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Analysis Article • Dec 18
Investors Appear Satisfied With Adore Beauty Group Limited's (ASX:ABY) Prospects
It's not a stretch to say that Adore Beauty Group Limited's ( ASX:ABY ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x right...New Narrative • Aug 31
Expanding Retail And Digital Personalization Will Unlock Market Potential
Key Takeaways Accelerated retail expansion and investment in personalization are boosting customer acquisition, retention, and sales growth through an improved omnichannel experience. Expansion of owned brands and greater marketing efficiency are improving margins, profitability, and decreasing dependence on third-party suppliers.Analysis Article • Aug 27
Optimistic Investors Push Adore Beauty Group Limited (ASX:ABY) Shares Up 34% But Growth Is Lacking
Adore Beauty Group Limited ( ASX:ABY ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 34% gain in the last month...Analysis Article • Jul 02
Market Participants Recognise Adore Beauty Group Limited's (ASX:ABY) Earnings
Adore Beauty Group Limited's ( ASX:ABY ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 37.6x might make it look like a strong...Analysis Article • Aug 20
Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By Adore Beauty Group Limited's (ASX:ABY) Revenues
It's not a stretch to say that Adore Beauty Group Limited's ( ASX:ABY ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x right...Analysis Article • Mar 06
Revenues Tell The Story For Adore Beauty Group Limited (ASX:ABY)
There wouldn't be many who think Adore Beauty Group Limited's ( ASX:ABY ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x is...Analysis Article • Jul 24
Investors Appear Satisfied With Adore Beauty Group Limited's (ASX:ABY) Prospects
It's not a stretch to say that Adore Beauty Group Limited's ( ASX:ABY ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x right...Analysis Article • Dec 06
What Is Adore Beauty Group Limited's (ASX:ABY) Share Price Doing?
Adore Beauty Group Limited ( ASX:ABY ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price...Analysis Article • Oct 18
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Adore Beauty Group Limited (ASX:ABY)
Today we will run through one way of estimating the intrinsic value of Adore Beauty Group Limited ( ASX:ABY ) by...Analysis Article • Jun 11
Adore Beauty Group Limited's (ASX:ABY) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 97% Above Its Share Price
Does the June share price for Adore Beauty Group Limited ( ASX:ABY ) reflect what it's really worth? Today, we will...Analysis Article • Mar 01
Adore Beauty Group's (ASX:ABY) Robust Earnings Are Supported By Other Strong Factors
The subdued stock price reaction suggests that Adore Beauty Group Limited's ( ASX:ABY ) strong earnings didn't offer...Analysis Article • Jan 23
What Percentage Of Adore Beauty Group Limited (ASX:ABY) Shares Do Insiders Own?
If you want to know who really controls Adore Beauty Group Limited ( ASX:ABY ), then you'll have to look at the makeup...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/30/2028 | 245 | N/A | 6 | 12 | 1 |
| 6/30/2027 | 231 | N/A | -3 | 10 | 1 |
| 6/30/2026 | 213 | N/A | -6 | 5 | 1 |
| 12/28/2025 | 208 | 0 | -5 | 9 | N/A |
| 9/28/2025 | 203 | 1 | -2 | 8 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 199 | 1 | 0 | 8 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 198 | 1 | -1 | 6 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 198 | 2 | -1 | 3 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 197 | 2 | 2 | 6 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 196 | 2 | 5 | 8 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 192 | 1 | 4 | 7 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 189 | 1 | 3 | 5 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 185 | 0 | 1 | 3 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 182 | -1 | -1 | 1 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 181 | 0 | 2 | 4 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 181 | 0 | 5 | 8 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 190 | 1 | 3 | 5 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 200 | 2 | 1 | 3 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 198 | 1 | 1 | 2 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 196 | 0 | 0 | 2 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 188 | 1 | 1 | 3 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 179 | 1 | 2 | 4 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 172 | 3 | 4 | 6 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 165 | 4 | 6 | 8 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 143 | 2 | 5 | 7 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 121 | -1 | 3 | 5 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 73 | 1 | N/A | 1 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 53 | 2 | N/A | 1 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: Insufficient data to determine if ABY's forecast earnings growth is above the savings rate (3.6%).
Earnings vs Market: Insufficient data to determine if ABY's earnings are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market
High Growth Earnings: Insufficient data to determine if ABY's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: ABY's revenue (6.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (6.1% per year).
High Growth Revenue: ABY's revenue (6.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: ABY's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.2%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/11 02:57 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/11 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/28 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Adore Beauty Group Limited is covered by 8 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Chamithri Ratnapala | Bell Potter |
| Leo Armati | Bell Potter |
| Jin Cong Wang | Citigroup Inc |