ArcBest Valuation

Is ARCB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ARCB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ARCB ($100.83) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($131.42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ARCB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ARCB?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ARCB key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.2x
PEG Ratio0.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ARCB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ARCB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.1x
WERN Werner Enterprises
35.4x38.5%US$2.2b
MRTN Marten Transport
31.3x27.0%US$1.4b
ULH Universal Logistics Holdings
9.4x2.5%US$1.2b
SNDR Schneider National
40.5x42.2%US$4.7b
ARCB ArcBest
18.7x29.5%US$2.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ARCB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x) compared to the peer average (29.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ARCB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Transportation Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a22.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a22.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ARCB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x) compared to the US Transportation industry average (28.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ARCB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ARCB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.7x
Fair PE Ratio19.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ARCB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ARCB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$100.83
US$128.00
+26.9%
14.9%US$175.00US$99.00n/a12
Sep ’25US$106.30
US$130.42
+22.7%
13.7%US$175.00US$102.00n/a12
Aug ’25US$121.69
US$138.75
+14.0%
11.9%US$176.00US$112.00n/a12
Jul ’25US$106.82
US$141.67
+32.6%
11.6%US$180.00US$110.00n/a12
Jun ’25US$105.52
US$142.27
+34.8%
11.9%US$180.00US$110.00n/a11
May ’25US$108.36
US$143.50
+32.4%
11.8%US$180.00US$110.00n/a12
Apr ’25US$142.08
US$156.45
+10.1%
8.5%US$178.00US$133.00n/a11
Mar ’25US$142.15
US$154.45
+8.7%
9.2%US$178.00US$133.00n/a11
Feb ’25US$120.98
US$139.33
+15.2%
10.7%US$165.00US$115.00n/a12
Jan ’25US$120.21
US$132.10
+9.9%
9.1%US$150.00US$109.00n/a10
Dec ’24US$124.72
US$136.18
+9.2%
11.4%US$170.00US$109.00n/a11
Nov ’24US$114.39
US$136.18
+19.1%
11.4%US$170.00US$109.00n/a11
Oct ’24US$101.65
US$130.70
+28.6%
10.2%US$150.00US$110.00US$103.9510
Sep ’24US$110.39
US$134.00
+21.4%
7.0%US$150.00US$117.00US$106.3010
Aug ’24US$117.39
US$135.80
+15.7%
7.7%US$150.00US$117.00US$121.6910
Jul ’24US$98.80
US$110.44
+11.8%
10.5%US$136.00US$90.00US$106.829
Jun ’24US$84.39
US$112.00
+32.7%
10.5%US$136.00US$91.00US$105.529
May ’24US$91.62
US$112.75
+23.1%
10.8%US$136.00US$91.00US$108.368
Apr ’24US$92.42
US$119.25
+29.0%
7.9%US$138.00US$107.00US$142.088
Mar ’24US$98.48
US$114.13
+15.9%
12.4%US$138.00US$90.00US$142.158
Feb ’24US$87.83
US$105.75
+20.4%
17.0%US$138.00US$83.00US$120.988
Jan ’24US$70.04
US$106.86
+52.6%
19.0%US$139.00US$80.00US$120.217
Dec ’23US$80.87
US$107.50
+32.9%
17.6%US$139.00US$80.00US$124.728
Nov ’23US$80.26
US$107.29
+33.7%
20.0%US$140.00US$80.00US$114.397
Oct ’23US$72.73
US$112.00
+54.0%
18.2%US$140.00US$83.00US$101.657

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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