GMéxico Transportes, S.A.B. de C.V.

BMV:GMXT * Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$149.0b

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GMéxico Transportes. de Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

GMéxico Transportes. de is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 19.5% and 4.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 6.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 18.5% in 3 years.

Key information

19.5%

Earnings growth rate

6.39%

EPS growth rate

Transportation earnings growth33.7%
Revenue growth rate4.4%
Future return on equity18.48%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated18 Jan 2026

Recent future growth updates

Analysis Article • Aug 01

Results: GMéxico Transportes, S.A.B. de C.V. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

GMéxico Transportes, S.A.B. de C.V. ( BMV:GMXT ) came out with its second-quarter results last week, and we wanted to...

Recent updates

Analysis Article • Jan 10

Here's What To Make Of GMéxico Transportes. de's (BMV:GMXT) Decelerating Rates Of Return

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? One common...
Narrative Update • Jan 10

GMXT *: Fairly Priced Outlook Will Rely On Higher Margins And P/E

Analysts have raised their price target for GMéxico Transportes to $35.19 from $30.41, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that slightly adjust the discount rate while still supporting a higher fair value estimate. Valuation Changes The fair value estimate was revised from MX$30.41 to MX$35.19, reflecting a higher assessed share valuation.
Narrative Update • Dec 26

GMXT *: Lower Risk Outlook Will Support Higher Margins And Narrow Discount

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on GMéxico Transportes, citing slightly lower perceived risk and incremental improvements in projected revenue growth and profit margins that support a fair value estimate of approximately $59.54 per share. Valuation Changes The fair value estimate remains unchanged at approximately MX$59.54 per share, indicating no material revision to the intrinsic valuation.
Analysis Article • Dec 22

Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For GMéxico Transportes, S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:GMXT) Shares

When close to half the companies in Mexico have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 13x, you may consider...
Narrative Update • Dec 12

GMXT * Tender Offer Will Support Improved Profitability And Narrow Discount

Analysts raised their price target on GMéxico Transportes slightly, with fair value edging up from about $58.95 to $59.54. They cited improved profitability assumptions following the recent tender offer, even as they moderate near term revenue growth and valuation multiples.
Analysis Article • Nov 04

Estimating The Fair Value Of GMéxico Transportes, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:GMXT)

Key Insights The projected fair value for GMéxico Transportes. de is Mex$32.90 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to...
Analysis Article • Oct 17

Is GMéxico Transportes. de (BMV:GMXT) A Risky Investment?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Narrative Update • Oct 08

Rail And Intermodal Investments Will Transform North American Freight

Analysts have lowered their price target for GMéxico Transportes from $40.99 to $40.34. This change reflects revised expectations for future growth and profitability following recent company developments.
Analysis Article • Sep 24

Here's What To Make Of GMéxico Transportes. de's (BMV:GMXT) Decelerating Rates Of Return

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
Narrative Update • Sep 24

Rail And Intermodal Investments Will Transform North American Freight

GMéxico Transportes. de’s valuation outlook remains stable, with virtually unchanged future P/E and discount rate metrics, resulting in only a minor price target increase from MX$40.53 to MX$40.99.
Analysis Article • Sep 06

What GMéxico Transportes, S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:GMXT) P/E Is Not Telling You

When close to half the companies in Mexico have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 12x, you may consider...
User avatar
New Narrative • Aug 03

Rail And Intermodal Investments Will Transform North American Freight

Strategic investments in infrastructure, sustainability initiatives, and digitalization are boosting operational efficiency and positioning the company for long-term margin improvement and revenue gr
Analysis Article • Aug 01

Results: GMéxico Transportes, S.A.B. de C.V. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

GMéxico Transportes, S.A.B. de C.V. ( BMV:GMXT ) came out with its second-quarter results last week, and we wanted to...
Analysis Article • Jul 12

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of GMéxico Transportes, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:GMXT)

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, GMéxico Transportes. de fair value estimate is Mex$35.43...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

BMV:GMXT * - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (MXN Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202871,591N/A14,45022,9151
12/31/202769,51816,33713,56921,7033
12/31/202666,16814,457N/A21,2263
12/31/202561,37412,968N/A19,3714
9/30/202564,0649,42411,27021,639N/A
6/30/202562,9529,24711,58022,536N/A
3/31/202561,4438,71311,48821,920N/A
12/31/202460,6448,89014,73122,686N/A
9/30/202459,2478,66613,45021,338N/A
6/30/202458,0309,04712,50820,351N/A
3/31/202457,2078,89411,15118,942N/A
12/31/202356,4298,56710,85518,457N/A
9/30/202356,2579,4836,54413,901N/A
6/30/202356,50810,0386,65914,176N/A
3/31/202355,6069,93013,58620,843N/A
12/31/202254,5729,83713,75421,353N/A
9/30/202253,8988,88218,98626,493N/A
6/30/202252,8517,88219,03925,969N/A
3/31/202252,3267,91313,11319,993N/A
12/31/202151,1737,57412,48119,178N/A
9/30/202149,2507,07712,37919,033N/A
6/30/202148,0206,63811,49818,040N/A
3/31/202146,1415,66110,94717,087N/A
12/31/202046,1065,91012,30318,114N/A
9/30/202047,0286,24912,90918,414N/A
6/30/202047,6256,12813,36419,294N/A
3/31/202048,7646,60212,83818,926N/A
12/31/201947,6336,03811,21317,831N/A
9/30/201947,6876,0129,09616,497N/A
6/30/201946,6686,231N/A14,958N/A
3/31/201946,1516,500N/A14,443N/A
12/31/201845,4257,002N/A14,971N/A
9/30/201844,1526,852N/A14,650N/A
6/30/201843,1876,688N/A15,621N/A
3/31/201840,4226,432N/A13,221N/A
12/31/201738,5775,974N/A12,004N/A
9/30/201735,9756,210N/A11,557N/A
6/30/201733,6316,461N/A10,539N/A
3/31/201733,3946,673N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201632,9056,677N/A11,524N/A
9/30/201626,7725,026N/A9,649N/A
6/30/201628,9424,988N/A9,541N/A
3/31/201630,0624,905N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201529,9634,750N/A8,664N/A
9/30/201525,5533,969N/A7,478N/A
6/30/201526,1484,070N/A7,704N/A
3/31/201525,6953,832N/A7,004N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GMXT *'s forecast earnings growth (19.5% per year) is above the savings rate (8.7%).

Earnings vs Market: GMXT *'s earnings (19.5% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the MX market (11.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: GMXT *'s earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: GMXT *'s revenue (4.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the MX market (6.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GMXT *'s revenue (4.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GMXT *'s Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (18.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/01/22 02:21
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/16 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

GMéxico Transportes, S.A.B. de C.V. is covered by 6 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ramón Ortiz ReyesActinver Case de Bolsa, S.A. de C.V.
Antonio Hernandez Velez LeijaActinver Case de Bolsa, S.A. de C.V.
Joshua MilbergMorgan Stanley