Genuine Parts Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Genuine Parts is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 11.6% and 3.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 24.2% in 3 years.
Key information
11.6%
Earnings growth rate
12.9%
EPS growth rate
| Retail Distributors earnings growth | 10.1% |
| Revenue growth rate | 3.4% |
| Future return on equity | 24.2% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 24 Apr 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Genuine Parts: Potential Winners For Tariff Protection, Buy Confirmed
Apr 18Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Genuine Parts Company (NYSE:GPC)?
Mar 24
These 4 Measures Indicate That Genuine Parts (NYSE:GPC) Is Using Debt Extensively
Mar 10Genuine Parts' (NYSE:GPC) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
Feb 21Genuine Parts Company: Unappreciated Dividend Aristocrat
Feb 18Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By Genuine Parts Company's (NYSE:GPC) Earnings
Feb 04The Returns At Genuine Parts (NYSE:GPC) Aren't Growing
Jan 03Genuine Parts Company (NYSE:GPC) Shares Could Be 47% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Dec 17Genuine Parts: It's Complicated
Dec 15Is Genuine Parts (NYSE:GPC) A Risky Investment?
Dec 03Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Genuine Parts Company (NYSE:GPC)?
Nov 05Genuine Parts Company: A Buy Opportunity Following The Recent Drop
Oct 23Genuine Parts Company (NYSE:GPC) Screens Well But There Might Be A Catch
Oct 14Genuine Parts Company: Don't Miss Out On This Quality Dividend Grower
Sep 11Genuine Parts (NYSE:GPC) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger
Sep 04Here's Why Genuine Parts (NYSE:GPC) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Aug 19An Intrinsic Calculation For Genuine Parts Company (NYSE:GPC) Suggests It's 44% Undervalued
Aug 07Genuine Parts Company: Weaker Consumer Demand Causes Concern But Dividend Remains Secure
Aug 06Genuine Parts Appears Overvalued
Jul 19What Does Genuine Parts Company's (NYSE:GPC) Share Price Indicate?
Jul 15Genuine Parts: Buy The Drop On This Dividend King
Jul 10Genuine Parts Company (NYSE:GPC) Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing
Jun 17Genuine Parts: The Buying Opportunity Has Now Arrived (Rating Upgrade)
Jun 01Genuine Parts' (NYSE:GPC) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher
May 21Genuine Parts: Buy Rated On Promising Signs Of Growth Turnaround
Apr 20Genuine Parts: A Dividend King That Offers Real Value (Rating Upgrade)
Apr 10Genuine Parts Company: Commitment To Dividends Increase Leads Me To A 'Hold' Rating
Jan 23Genuine Parts Company: 4 Reasons To Re-Enter
Nov 30Genuine Parts Company: Remaining Buy Rated Despite New Areas Of Concern
Nov 22Genuine Parts Company: The Type Of Dividend Growth Stock You Need Right Now
Oct 27Genuine Parts Q3 Earnings: Slowing Growth Leaves Shares Unattractive
Oct 19Genuine Parts Company: Growth To Continue At The Current Mid-Single-Digit Pace.
Sep 24Genuine Parts: Stable But Lacks Organic Growth
Sep 02Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 26,112 | 1,286 | 990 | 1,462 | 7 |
| 12/31/2026 | 24,966 | 1,178 | 1,153 | 1,597 | 13 |
| 12/31/2025 | 24,082 | 981 | 889 | 1,304 | 13 |
| 3/31/2025 | 23,569 | 850 | 321 | 892 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 23,487 | 904 | 684 | 1,251 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 23,302 | 1,088 | 901 | 1,449 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 23,157 | 1,213 | 1,024 | 1,591 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 23,109 | 1,261 | 1,016 | 1,556 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 23,091 | 1,317 | 923 | 1,436 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 23,028 | 1,252 | 859 | 1,305 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 22,879 | 1,213 | 741 | 1,133 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 22,566 | 1,241 | 916 | 1,266 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 22,096 | 1,183 | 1,127 | 1,467 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 21,376 | 1,187 | 1,123 | 1,495 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 20,519 | 1,103 | 1,016 | 1,345 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 19,700 | 927 | 1,060 | 1,356 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 18,871 | 899 | 992 | 1,258 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 18,319 | 814 | 1,401 | 1,587 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 17,870 | 819 | 1,602 | 1,772 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 16,910 | 259 | 2,083 | 2,246 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 16,537 | 163 | 1,866 | 2,020 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 16,566 | 71 | 1,380 | 1,587 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 16,721 | 50 | 1,293 | 1,543 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 17,356 | 623 | 633 | 904 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 17,522 | 646 | 614 | 892 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 17,846 | 754 | 648 | 965 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 18,044 | 762 | 722 | 991 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 18,408 | 780 | 822 | 1,069 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 16,832 | 750 | N/A | 1,145 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 18,338 | 732 | N/A | 1,198 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 17,711 | 670 | N/A | 925 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 16,989 | 633 | N/A | 852 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 16,309 | 617 | N/A | 815 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 15,882 | 661 | N/A | 747 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 15,728 | 688 | N/A | 761 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 15,527 | 689 | N/A | 913 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 15,340 | 687 | N/A | 946 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 15,241 | 696 | N/A | 1,005 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 15,221 | 699 | N/A | 1,236 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 15,262 | 703 | N/A | 1,172 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 15,280 | 706 | N/A | 1,159 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 15,421 | 710 | N/A | 1,097 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 15,485 | 712 | N/A | 877 | N/A |
| 3/31/2015 | 15,453 | 715 | N/A | 853 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 15,342 | 711 | N/A | 790 | N/A |
| 9/30/2014 | 15,037 | 696 | N/A | 809 | N/A |
| 6/30/2014 | 14,736 | 679 | N/A | 957 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: GPC's forecast earnings growth (11.6% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).
Earnings vs Market: GPC's earnings (11.6% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.1% per year).
High Growth Earnings: GPC's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: GPC's revenue (3.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.2% per year).
High Growth Revenue: GPC's revenue (3.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: GPC's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (24.2%)
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/04/27 17:01 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/04/25 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Genuine Parts Company is covered by 27 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Deborah Ciervo | Argus Research Company |
| Elizabeth Suzuki | BofA Global Research |
| Garrett Nelson | CFRA Equity Research |