OCI Valuation

Is OCI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OCI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OCI (€11.32) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€10.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OCI is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OCI?

Key metric: As OCI is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for OCI. This is calculated by dividing OCI's market cap by their current revenue.
What is OCI's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.3x
SalesUS$1.95b
Market CapUS$2.48b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does OCI's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for OCI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1x
CRBN Corbion
0.9x-0.2%€1.3b
APAM Aperam
0.3x6.1%€2.0b
AKZA Akzo Nobel
0.9x3.0%€9.5b
600486 Jiangsu Yangnong Chemical
2.1x18.0%CN¥21.5b
OCI OCI
1.3x3.6%€2.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: OCI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the peer average (1.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does OCI's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

27 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
OCI 1.3xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies29PS01.22.43.64.86+
27 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: OCI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OCI's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OCI PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: OCI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OCI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€11.32
€18.26
+61.4%
46.1%€35.11€12.66n/a9
Nov ’25€10.86
€24.25
+123.4%
40.9%€35.31€12.30n/a9
Oct ’25€26.12
€31.75
+21.5%
6.0%€34.23€29.04n/a9
Sep ’25€28.61
€31.27
+9.3%
6.8%€34.19€26.18n/a12
Aug ’25€21.94
€30.75
+40.2%
11.5%€38.20€24.13n/a12
Jul ’25€22.63
€29.86
+31.9%
14.0%€37.95€21.92n/a13
Jun ’25€25.06
€29.94
+19.5%
13.8%€37.76€22.00n/a13
May ’25€25.30
€30.45
+20.4%
15.7%€38.71€22.42n/a12
Apr ’25€25.39
€30.18
+18.9%
14.9%€37.88€23.29n/a12
Mar ’25€24.25
€30.60
+26.2%
14.9%€38.29€23.54n/a12
Feb ’25€26.50
€28.57
+7.8%
17.4%€38.17€20.21n/a12
Jan ’25€26.24
€26.46
+0.8%
16.4%€37.57€19.90n/a12
Dec ’24€19.58
€26.82
+37.0%
16.5%€37.89€20.04n/a12
Nov ’24€21.47
€30.33
+41.3%
17.3%€42.08€23.92€10.8612
Oct ’24€26.39
€31.16
+18.1%
15.9%€42.10€24.85€26.1212
Sep ’24€23.43
€30.99
+32.3%
21.5%€47.21€24.19€28.6113
Aug ’24€24.90
€29.83
+19.8%
21.0%€46.70€23.03€21.9412
Jul ’24€21.97
€31.92
+45.3%
21.0%€46.19€25.12€22.6312
Jun ’24€20.53
€33.26
+62.0%
19.9%€46.79€25.45€25.0612
May ’24€23.89
€35.03
+46.6%
17.1%€45.76€24.74€25.3011
Apr ’24€31.26
€36.44
+16.6%
13.9%€46.74€29.80€25.3911
Mar ’24€31.06
€36.98
+19.1%
11.8%€43.70€30.03€24.2510
Feb ’24€31.26
€39.37
+25.9%
8.8%€45.96€32.84€26.5010
Jan ’24€33.42
€42.25
+26.4%
9.3%€48.13€33.26€26.2410
Dec ’23€39.84
€43.84
+10.1%
9.0%€49.80€34.41€19.5810
Nov ’23€38.68
€44.83
+15.9%
9.5%€52.05€35.97€21.4710

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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