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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
30.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
42
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
17
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
48
users have followed this narrative
New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Key Assumptions: Successful Guyana and South America Deposits: ExxonMobil’s Stabroek Block in Guyana is assumed to achieve full operational success, contributing significantly to production growth. The block is estimated to hold over 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil, with production scaling rapidly.
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US$189.00
FV
40.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
9
users have followed this narrative
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Principal Financial Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Market Volatility Will Pressure Fee Revenues While Expense Discipline Will Support Margins
Key Takeaways Persistent market volatility and economic uncertainties may squeeze growth in retirement and asset management, impacting revenue and profitability. Increased competition and pricing pressures could weaken specialty benefits sales, potentially diminishing future premium and fees growth.
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US$67.00
FV
19.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
21 days ago
author updated this narrative
Micron Technology
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 34 Analysts
Geopolitical Tensions And Rising Costs Will Hinder Future Competitiveness
Key Takeaways Geopolitical risks, trade barriers, and climate regulations threaten to increase costs, reduce market access, and limit Micron's ability to invest or return capital. Shifts toward custom AI hardware and intense industry competition risk eroding core product demand and compressing profit margins amid volatile market cycles.
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US$93.56
FV
19.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
12.24%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
21 days ago
author updated this narrative
Wheaton Precious Metals
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Decarbonization And Crypto Competition Will Erode Precious Metals Demand
Key Takeaways Shifting investor preferences, digital asset competition, and regulatory pressures threaten to weaken precious metal demand and increase costs, challenging Wheaton's revenue growth. Heavy reliance on a few core assets and a dwindling pipeline of quality mining projects expose Wheaton to volatility and risk of stagnating future growth.
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CA$124.67
FV
3.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
6.99%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
21 days ago
author updated this narrative
Kelsian Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Slowing Demand And Rising CapEx Will Hinder Prospects
Key Takeaways Structural shifts toward remote work and stagnant ridership threaten long-term organic growth and expose the company to policy and competitive risks. Rising compliance costs, aging demographics, and operational inefficiencies from acquisitions are likely to suppress operating margins and hinder meaningful earnings improvement.
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AU$3.50
FV
6.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.43%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
21 days ago
author updated this narrative
Norcros
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
UK Regulatory And Cost Pressures Will Dampen Future Prospects
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on core UK and South African markets, combined with shifting industry trends, leaves Norcros exposed to demand volatility and long-term margin pressure. Rising regulatory and ESG requirements will drive up costs, reduce competitive advantages, and challenge Norcros' ability to sustain earnings growth and attractive valuations.
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UK£2.67
FV
9.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.11%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
21 days ago
author updated this narrative
Equitas Small Finance Bank
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 18 Analysts
Eroding Digital Banking Base Will Exacerbate Valuation Issues
Key Takeaways Rising digital adoption and aggressive financial inclusion threaten Equitas's client base, compress pricing power, and pressure loan growth and fee income. Operational inefficiencies and ongoing asset quality challenges are likely to cap earnings growth and erode overall profitability amid tightening regulatory norms.
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₹60.00
FV
0.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
10.71%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
21 days ago
author updated this narrative
Oil and Gas Development
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Accelerating Renewable Adoption Will Constrain Hydrocarbon Returns
Key Takeaways The accelerating global transition to renewables and heightened regulatory pressures threaten OGDCL's long-term relevance, profitability, and ability to expand. Heavy reliance on aging assets, underinvestment, and rising costs expose the company to production risks, capital overruns, and reduced shareholder value.
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PK₨210.00
FV
7.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
6.26%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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21 days ago
author updated this narrative
Platinum Investment Management
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Leadership Changes And New Fund Launches Will Attract Future Inflows
Key Takeaways Leadership changes and enhanced investment processes are set to improve the International Fund's performance and increase future revenue inflows. Strategic fund launches and operational efficiencies aim to diversify revenue and strengthen net margins, supporting sustained earnings growth.
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AU$0.54
FV
28.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-15.49%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
7
users have followed this narrative
21 days ago
author updated this narrative
Crayon Group Holding
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
Focus On Cybersecurity And Cloud Modernization Will Strengthen Future Prospects
Key Takeaways Crayon's focus on international growth and strategic renewals in public sector deals is expected to boost revenue despite initial low margins. Emphasis on CSP business integration and high-growth areas like cybersecurity could enhance revenue, margins, and earnings through strategic partnerships and service expansions.
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NOK 133.67
FV
7.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
12.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
7
users have followed this narrative
21 days ago
author updated this narrative
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