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Thungela Resources Community
JSE:TGA Community
3
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Thungela Resources
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Undervalued
Overvalued
Thungela Resources
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
ESG Pressures And Decarbonization Will Choke Thermal Coal Exports
Key Takeaways Accelerating decarbonization and renewable energy adoption threaten to shrink Thungela's export markets and compress future revenue and margins. Heightened ESG scrutiny and stricter environmental regulations increase costs, restrict financing, and jeopardize long-term profitability for thermal coal producers.
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R92.00
FV
3.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-4.29%
Revenue growth p.a.
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narrative
Thungela Resources
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Asia And Africa Demand Will Secure Premium Coal Amid Headwinds
Key Takeaways Operational improvements, resilient logistics, and strong balance sheet position Thungela for rapid margin expansion, high shareholder returns, and strategic growth in a fragmented coal market. Persistent global coal underinvestment and sustained demand for premium products allow Thungela to achieve superior pricing, secure long-term cash flows, and weather commodity market cycles.
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R135.00
FV
29.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
0.056%
Revenue growth p.a.
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New
narrative
Thungela Resources
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Southeast Asia Demand Will Support Coal Exports Though Challenges Remain
Key Takeaways Global supply constraints and strong demand from developing markets enhance Thungela's pricing power and support stable, long-term revenue growth. Operational excellence, disciplined capital allocation, and strategic expansions underpin margin improvements and sustainable shareholder returns.
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R114.95
FV
17.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-2.45%
Revenue growth p.a.
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4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Your Valuation for
TGA
TGA
Thungela Resources
Your Fair Value
R
Current Price
R94.84
103.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
Growth estimate over
Annual revenue growth rate
5 Years
time period
%/yr
Decrease
Increase
Past
Future
0
42b
2015
2018
2021
2024
2025
2027
2030
Revenue R29.6b
Earnings R2.3b
Advanced
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