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Xiaomi DCF Analysis: Stock Slightly Undervalued?

MA
Marco_iltedescoNot Invested
Community Contributor
Published
30 Mar 25
Updated
30 Mar 25
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Marco_iltedesco's Fair Value
HK$56.00
20.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
30 Mar
HK$44.55
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1Y
186.3%
7D
-17.4%

Author's Valuation

HK$56.0

20.4% undervalued intrinsic discount

Marco_iltedesco's Fair Value

Our updated Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis shows that the fair value of Xiaomi's stock is approximately HKD 56.00, slightly above its current price of HKD 51.05 (as of March 28, 2025).

Xiaomi has been expanding its product offerings, with plans to double the sales of its electric vehicle model SU7 and introduce a new vehicle, the YU7, in 2025. Additionally, the company recently raised $5.5 billion through a stock offering to boost its electric vehicle production, aiming to deliver 350,000 vehicles this year. (Reuters)

Xiaomi plans to significantly increase its EV production in 2025, which is expected to positively impact its free cash flow. Despite the growth potential, risks include dependence on regulatory conditions, intense competition in the electronics and automotive sectors, and broader macroeconomic uncertainties. Investors should consider these factors before making investment decisions.

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Disclaimer

The user Marco_iltedesco holds no position in SEHK:1810. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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