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Even at the under expectation numbers, we are on track to reduce debt;

CA
CanderousInvested
Community Contributor
Published
18 Aug 24
Updated
21 Jan 25
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Canderous's Fair Value
CA$0.063
52.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
21 Jan
CA$0.03
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1Y
-60.0%
7D
0%

Author's Valuation

CA$0.06

52.4% undervalued intrinsic discount

Canderous's Fair Value

Key Financial Highlights for Q2 2024:

  1. Net Income: Prospera reported a net income of $137,933 in Q2 2024, a major turnaround from a net loss of $779,438 in Q2 2023.
  2. Production and Sales:
    • Net Sales: The company realized average net sales of 696 boe/d (gross 813 boe/d) in Q2 2024, marking a 34% increase from Q2 2023 net sales of 478 boe/d (gross 609 boe/d). This growth was driven by the successful implementation of the 2023 development program.
    • Sales Revenue: Sales revenue rose by 69%, reaching $5,164,586 in Q2 2024 compared to $3,041,561 in Q2 2023, attributed to both higher production volumes and increased price levels.
  3. Operating Expenses:
    • Operating expenses per barrel were reduced by 11%, dropping to $32.87/boe in Q2 2024 from $36.89/boe in Q2 2023. This reduction is due to the increased production volumes, which helped spread costs more efficiently.
  4. Operating Netback:
    • The company saw a significant increase in its operating netback, which rose by $1,534,079 quarter over quarter, reaching $2,628,444 in Q2 2024 ($42.87/boe) compared to $1,094,365 in Q2 2023 ($25.10/boe).
  5. Balance Sheet Enhancements:
    • As of June 30, 2024, Prospera reduced its accounts payable arrears by $2,659,680 from December 31, 2023.
    • Prospera also settled JV receivables and a non-core Red Earth property in exchange for an additional 7% working interest in its core Saskatchewan properties (Cuthbert, Luseland, and Hearts Hill). This transaction increased Prospera's weighted average corporate working interest to 84%.
  6. Financing for Development:
    • In Q2 2024, Prospera entered into a loan agreement for CAD $11 million, which was closed in July 2024. Additionally, the company closed a CAD $3.4 million Gross Overriding Royalty (GORR) financing during the same quarter. Both financings are earmarked for the company's 2024 development program.

  • Sales: $82.67/boe (Q2 2024) vs. $69.87/boe (Q2 2023)
  • Transportation Costs: $5.41/boe (Q2 2024) vs. $3.73/boe (Q2 2023)
  • Royalties: $6.92/boe (Q2 2024) vs. $7.87/boe (Q2 2023)
  • Operating Costs: $27.46/boe (Q2 2024) vs. $33.16/boe (Q2 2023)
  • Operating Netback: $42.87/boe (Q2 2024) vs. $25.10/boe (Q2 2023)

Year 1 (2024):

  • Interest: 5% of $11 million = $550,000
  • Principal repayment: $2 million - $550,000 = $1,450,000
  • Debt remaining: $11 million - $1.45 million = $9.55 million

Year 2 (2025):

  • Interest: 5% of $9.55 million = $477,500
  • Principal repayment: $2 million - $477,500 = $1,522,500
  • Debt remaining: $9.55 million - $1.5225 million = $8.0275 million

Year 3 (2026):

  • Interest: 5% of $8.0275 million = $401,375
  • Principal repayment: $2 million - $401,375 = $1,598,625
  • Debt remaining: $8.0275 million - $1.598625 million = $6.428875 million

Year 4 (2027):

  • Interest: 5% of $6.428875 million = $321,443.75
  • Principal repayment: $2 million - $321,443.75 = $1,678,556.25
  • Debt remaining: $6.428875 million - $1.67855625 million = $4.75031875 million

Year 5 (2028):

  • Interest: 5% of $4.75031875 million = $237,515.94
  • Principal repayment: $2 million - $237,515.94 = $1,762,484.06
  • Debt remaining: $4.75031875 million - $1.76248406 million = $2.98783469 million

After five years, Prospera could reduce its debt from $11 million to approximately $2.99 million, assuming the above scenario.

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Disclaimer

The user Canderous has a position in TSXV:PEI. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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