Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) Stock Overview
Provides human and animal nutrition ingredients and solutions in the United States, Switzerland, the Cayman Islands, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 2/6 |
| Future Growth | 1/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 5/6 |
| Dividends | 4/6 |
ADM Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 149 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$76.79 |
| 52 Week High | US$85.37 |
| 52 Week Low | US$52.23 |
| Beta | 0.61 |
| 1 Month Change | -5.10% |
| 3 Month Change | 6.43% |
| 1 Year Change | 40.85% |
| 3 Year Change | -2.23% |
| 5 Year Change | 27.98% |
| Change since IPO | 47,836.83% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Jun 25
ADM: Policy Support And Margins Will Likely Keep Shares Fairly Valued
Archer-Daniels-Midland’s analyst price target has been adjusted modestly higher to about $74.60, with analysts pointing to updated fair value estimates, slightly revised revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and refreshed P/E expectations following a series of recent price target increases across major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Archer-Daniels-Midland centers on a cluster of price target revisions and regulatory developments, giving investors a clearer picture of how analysts are thinking about valuation, growth prospects, and execution risk around the stock.Seeking Alpha • Jun 17
Archer-Daniels-Midland - A Dividend King Facing Cash Flow Challenges
Summary Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) earns a Hold rating due to weak operating performance, declining EBITDA, and only modest revenue growth despite global scale. Recent investments in Brazil and Kentucky target higher-value segments, but capital efficiency and cash generation remain concerns amid ongoing margin and raw material volatility. ADM trades at a premium to peers, with a forward P/E of 16.8x and EV/EBITDA of 10.88x, justified only if a turnaround materializes—recent results do not confirm this. Dividend discipline persists with 53 consecutive annual increases, but negative free cash flow and reliance on external financing highlight risks to shareholder returns. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRecent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 25
ADM: Policy Support And Margins Will Likely Keep Shares Fairly Valued
Archer-Daniels-Midland’s analyst price target has been adjusted modestly higher to about $74.60, with analysts pointing to updated fair value estimates, slightly revised revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and refreshed P/E expectations following a series of recent price target increases across major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Archer-Daniels-Midland centers on a cluster of price target revisions and regulatory developments, giving investors a clearer picture of how analysts are thinking about valuation, growth prospects, and execution risk around the stock.Seeking Alpha • Jun 17
Archer-Daniels-Midland - A Dividend King Facing Cash Flow Challenges
Summary Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) earns a Hold rating due to weak operating performance, declining EBITDA, and only modest revenue growth despite global scale. Recent investments in Brazil and Kentucky target higher-value segments, but capital efficiency and cash generation remain concerns amid ongoing margin and raw material volatility. ADM trades at a premium to peers, with a forward P/E of 16.8x and EV/EBITDA of 10.88x, justified only if a turnaround materializes—recent results do not confirm this. Dividend discipline persists with 53 consecutive annual increases, but negative free cash flow and reliance on external financing highlight risks to shareholder returns. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Jun 09
ADM: Policy Support And Margins Will Likely Keep Shares Fairly Valued
Archer-Daniels-Midland's analyst price target has been marked slightly higher to $74.22 from $74.10 as analysts factor in recent target lifts across major firms and modest adjustments to fair value and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has clustered around upward revisions to Archer-Daniels-Midland's price targets, with several firms adjusting their fair value frameworks and P/E assumptions.Narrative Update • May 26
ADM: Policy Support And Margin Assumptions Will Likely Keep Shares Fairly Valued
Analysts have lifted the average price target on Archer-Daniels-Midland by $9.19 to $74.10, citing updated assumptions around fair value, profit margin, and future P/E after a series of target increases from major research firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Archer-Daniels-Midland focus on refreshed fair value estimates, adjusted profit margin assumptions, and revised P/E expectations, with several firms updating their price targets in close succession.
New Narrative • Apr 22
Biofuel Policy Dependence And Cost Pressures Will Constrain Future Earnings Potential
Catalysts About Archer-Daniels-Midland Archer-Daniels-Midland is a global agricultural processor and ingredient company with businesses in Ag Services and Oilseeds, Carbohydrate Solutions and Nutrition. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Apr 20
ADM: Policy Support And Execution Risks Will Likely Keep Shares Fairly Valued
Analysts have raised their price targets on Archer-Daniels-Midland, supporting a fair value update from about $63.82 to $64.91 as they incorporate recent target increases from several firms and the impact of the EPA's final RFS volume mandates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Archer-Daniels-Midland focuses on updated price targets and the implications of the EPA's final Renewable Fuel Standard, or RFS, volume mandates.
New Narrative • Apr 07
Nutrition Expansion And Decarbonization Efforts Will Support A Stronger Long Term Outlook
Catalysts About Archer-Daniels-Midland Archer-Daniels-Midland is a global agricultural and nutrition company that processes crops and supplies ingredients, feed and biofuels to food, beverage, animal nutrition and industrial customers. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Apr 06
ADM: Renewable Fuel Support Will Likely Fail To Offset Oversupply Risks
Analysts have nudged their price targets on Archer-Daniels-Midland higher, contributing to an updated fair value estimate of about $63.82 from roughly $62.09, citing recent regulatory support for renewable fuels and a modestly higher assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a mixed but constructive tone around Archer-Daniels-Midland, with several firms fine-tuning price targets and reassessing how policy, commodity trends, and broader sector conditions could influence the company’s execution and valuation.Narrative Update • Mar 23
ADM: Future Returns Likely Balanced Between Commodity Oversupply Risks And Execution Opportunities
Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Archer-Daniels-Midland higher from about $60.73 to roughly $62.09, reflecting a series of recent price target increases across the Street as they factor in updated assumptions on revenue growth, profitability, and future price-to-earnings expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Archer-Daniels-Midland reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms updating price targets and reassessing how current industry conditions feed into valuation, execution risk, and growth potential.Narrative Update • Mar 08
ADM: Persistent Commodity Oversupply Risk Will Constrain Future Return Potential
Analysts have nudged their average price target for Archer-Daniels-Midland higher into the mid to high $60s, reflecting recent upward revisions from firms that point to a more balanced view of commodity oversupply risks alongside potential catalysts in agriculture and chemicals. Analyst Commentary Recent research has focused on how Archer-Daniels-Midland is priced against a backdrop of commodity oversupply concerns and mixed conditions in agriculture and chemicals, with several firms updating their targets while maintaining a cautious stance on execution risks.Narrative Update • Feb 22
ADM: Commodity Oversupply And Mixed Agriculture Setup Will Pressure Future Returns
Analysts have slightly increased their fair value estimate for Archer Daniels Midland to $60.73 from $59.64. This change reflects a series of recent upward price target revisions in the $57 to $68 range, as they incorporate updated sector views and company specific assumptions.Narrative Update • Feb 06
ADM: Mixed Commodity Backdrop And Policy Shifts Will Shape Fairly Valued Shares
Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their price targets on Archer Daniels Midland, reflected in a higher implied fair value from about US$57.09 to US$59.64, as they factor in updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple supported by recent research commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Archer-Daniels-Midland focus on recalibrated price targets, with analysts weighing a mixed outlook for agriculture and broader commodities against potential macro and policy catalysts that could affect earnings expectations and valuation multiples.Narrative Update • Jan 07
ADM: Carbohydrate Headwinds And Policy Uncertainty Will Shape Fairly Valued Shares
Analysts now see fair value for Archer-Daniels-Midland edging up to about $57.09 per share from roughly $56.90, even as a lower US$59 Street price target and fresh Underweight ratings reflect concerns about ongoing profit headwinds in Carbohydrate Solutions and softer demand for packaged foods with sugar additives. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Q3 earnings that came in ahead of estimates suggest the company can still execute against expectations even as end markets remain mixed, which some investors may view as support for the current fair value range near US$57.Narrative Update • Dec 23
ADM: Weaker Carbohydrate Demand And Policy Uncertainty Will Shape Returns Ahead
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Archer-Daniels-Midland slightly, reflecting a modest fair value reduction to about $57 from roughly $57.60, as they factor in softer revenue growth expectations and persistent profit headwinds despite marginally stronger margins. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary has tilted more cautious on Archer-Daniels-Midland, with a notable downgrade to Underweight and a lower price target in the high $50s, as analysts reassess the durability of earnings against a softer demand backdrop.Narrative Update • Dec 09
ADM: Weaker Carbohydrate Demand And Policy Shifts Will Shape Returns Ahead
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Archer-Daniels-Midland by $2 to $59, citing persistent profit headwinds tied to softer demand in the Carbohydrate Solutions segment and broader weakness in packaged foods, particularly products with sugar additives. Analyst Commentary Analysts characterize the latest move to trim the price target to $59 as a reflection of mounting execution risk rather than a collapse in fundamentals, with the rating cut to Underweight signaling reduced confidence in near term outperformance.Narrative Update • Nov 25
ADM: Weaker Packaged Food Demand And Policy Uncertainty Will Shape Performance Ahead
Archer-Daniels-Midland's analyst price target has been reduced by $2 to $59, as analysts cite continuing profit headwinds and weaker demand for packaged foods as the reason for the downgrade. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways The company's Q3 earnings exceeded market estimates, showing its ability to outperform in a challenging environment.Narrative Update • Nov 05
ADM: Soybean Incentives And Policy Uncertainty Will Influence Future Performance
Analysts have lowered their price target on Archer-Daniels-Midland from $58.30 to $57.60, citing persistent profit headwinds and softer demand in key segments. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst perspectives on Archer-Daniels-Midland reflect ongoing debate around the company’s outlook.Narrative Update • Aug 27
Government Support And Facility Upgrades Will Shape Future Biofuels Markets
The analyst price target for Archer-Daniels-Midland has been raised to $58.30, reflecting early stabilization in Nutrition, a more favorable Ag Services outlook, improved execution, and an expected Q2 EBITDA beat, partially offset by weaker North American crush margins. Analyst Commentary Early signs of stabilization in the Nutrition segment are emerging.Narrative Update • Aug 08
Government Support And Facility Upgrades Will Shape Future Biofuels Markets
The analyst price target for Archer-Daniels-Midland has been raised to $55.00, primarily reflecting early stabilization in Nutrition, improved industry conditions and execution, and an expected Q2 EBITDA beat, partially offset by weaker North American crush margins. Analyst Commentary Early signs of stabilization in the Nutrition segment More constructive industry backdrop in Agricultural Services Improved company execution and increased policy visibility Expectation of Q2 EBITDA beating consensus by 6% Upside partially offset by anticipated weaker crush margins in North America Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Archer-Daniels-Midland The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen from $52.33 to $55.00.Analysis Article • Aug 05
Sentiment Still Eluding Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (NYSE:ADM)
NYSE:ADM 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Archer-Daniels-Midland's Fair Values from the Community and select...Seeking Alpha • Mar 31
Archer-Daniels-Midland: Strong Dividend Yield Backed By Basic Food Inflation (Rating Upgrade)
Summary I am bullish on Archer-Daniels-Midland due to its conservative balance sheet and steady total returns, especially during inflationary periods. Recent stock price declines and leadership/accounting concerns have opened a buying opportunity, with grain prices possibly recovering faster than anticipated, boosting ADM's fortunes. The forward ADM cash dividend yield of 4.3% is basically the highest in history, and dramatically better than the S&P 500, making it an attractive proposition for income-focused investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 27
Archer-Daniels-Midland: Strong Amid Commodity Cycle Downturn
Summary Archer-Daniels-Midland offers a strong investment opportunity under $50 per share, driven by its critical role in the global food supply chain. ADM's vertically integrated model spans Ag Services & Oilseeds, Carbohydrate Solutions, and Nutrition, with key drivers being supply constraints, biofuel demand and population growth. A resilient, simple and predictable business, ADM has historically delivered exceptional returns, aligning with value investing principles. Current valuation, with a market cap of $22 billion, a 4.2% dividend yield, and a P/E ratio of 9, presents a compelling buy opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 13
Archer-Daniels-Midland: Buy The Dip
Summary Archer-Daniels-Midland is solidly in the value range, presenting a solid entry point for value and income investors despite recent challenges. ADM's cost-cutting initiatives and targeted investments in high-growth areas like bio-solutions and plant digitization are expected to drive future profitability. ADM has a strong focus on shareholder returns, with a 4.4% dividend yield, consistent dividend growth, and a substantial share buyback program. With a forward PE below its historical average and expected EPS recovery next year, ADM is attractively valued for patient investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 12
Archer-Daniels-Midland: Pessimism Offers Chance To Acquire This Market Leader At A Discount
Summary ADM's stock has dropped 30% due to weaker financial performance and accounting issues, but the pessimism seems overdone. The stock is trading near its book value, presenting a potential bargain for long-term investors despite current challenges. ADM's smart capital allocation strategy, including share buybacks and dividends, signals management's commitment to shareholders during periods of business downturns. ADM's discounted valuation and strong dividend yield offer an attractive opportunity for investors looking for long-term gains and income. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 04
Archer-Daniels-Midland: Did Simple Forensic Tests Trigger An Early Warning?
Summary Archer-Daniels-Midland disclosed accounting issues in early 2023, resulting in a delayed filing and ultimately an amendment to its 2023 10-K and 10-Q filings for Q1 and Q2 2024. Although the issues only related to intersegment results, ADM serves as an interesting case study for whether forensic tests can be used as early warning indicators. In this article, which is intended to serve an educational purpose, I discuss a single-value metric as well as several more granular tests. While the tests performed on ADM's 2018-2023 financial statements did not reveal any issues, the company's asset depreciation should be closely scrutinized by investors. Investors should remain cautious but recognize the increasedscrutiny from ADM's auditor E&Y, as well as obviously effective improvements in its internal control system. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 28
Archer-Daniels-Midland: An Undervalued Dividend Aristocrat Deep Dive
Summary Good deals in the stock market often come with inherent risks and pain, but can yield significant rewards. Reflexive patterns in market behavior can provide insights into potential investment opportunities. Archer-Daniels-Midland is flashing value signs in charts. A strong dividend payout near a 4% yield and growth for 31 years are very attractive. A robust balance sheet further supports the investment thesis, indicating financial stability and growth prospects with seemingly ample dividend coverage by free cash flow. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 29
The Value Case For Archer-Daniels-Midland And Its Changed Relationship With Corn
Summary Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) is a leading player in the global grain processing and trading industry. A number of valuation metrics suggest the mid-$50's area is a good floor for the stock. The company's financial performance and consistent dividend payouts make it an attractive option for long-term investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 12
Archer-Daniels-Midland Was Rangebound, But Just Broke Down (Technical Analysis)
Summary ADM faces ongoing investigations and shareholder lawsuits related to accounting issues in its Nutrition segment, impacting investor confidence and share prices. Declining margins on soybean oil and meal, along with potential DOJ scrutiny over alleged ethanol price manipulation, further pressure ADM's earnings outlook. ADM's EPS is expected to drop significantly in 2024, with shares likely trading between $53.50 and $61.53, reflecting limited growth prospects. Share buybacks may support EPS in 2025, but this current share price breakdown suggests waiting for potential further declines or a reversal before considering investment. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 24
Archer-Daniels-Midland: Earn 10% Total Returns Annually, Until Next Inflation Payoff
Summary Long-term inflation risks are higher today than in the 1970s due to excessive U.S. Treasury debts & deficits, chronic trade imbalances, and near monopolies in many industries. Archer-Daniels-Midland is a strong inflation hedge idea with a conservative balance sheet, consistent income margins, and attractive valuation metrics. ADM's current valuation is the best in many years, with a 3.2% dividend yield and substantial leverage to rising grain prices as kickers. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 05
Archer-Daniels-Midland: Short-Term Headwinds Make The Stock Uninvestable
Summary Archer-Daniels-Midland stock remains unusually volatile due to persistent short-term pressures, even after the significant decline in January. The new CFO joins at a challenging time for the company, with declining prices and rising logistics costs. As prices decline, I expect profitability to revert to historical averages. ADM's stock appears fairly valued, with no clear catalysts for significant upside in the near term. Therefore, I maintain a "Hold" rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 13
Undervalued And Overlooked, The Bull Case For Archer-Daniels-Midland
Summary ADM has a rich history of delivering strong returns but faces current challenges like weaker margins and industry headwinds, affecting short-term performance. Despite recent struggles, ADM remains a solid value play with strategic positioning in the global food supply chain and potential for future growth. The stock offers a strong dividend profile, making it an appealing choice for investors seeking inflation protection and long-term income generation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 06
Archer-Daniels-Midland: Appears Undervalued, But May Be Just A Value Trap
Summary The aim of our article today is to give an updated view on the valuation and the business performance of ADM. The company's recent quarterly results show significant revenue and earnings misses, primarily driven by struggles in Ag Services & Oilseeds and the Nutrition segment. Despite undervaluation based on both a set of traditional price multiples and our dividend discount model, caution is advised due to weak outlook and recent poor performance. We reiterate our "hold" rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jul 05
Archer-Daniels-Midland: Price Stability, For Now (Rating Upgrade)
Summary ADM's stock price has remained broadly stagnant in the past quarter since coming under scrutiny in early 2024, with weak financials and outlook contributing further to investor concerns. However, with the conditions in the agricultural market out of its hands, its performance is not a reflection of the company. That said, it could face challenges up to next year. ADM has assuaged investors as it has increased dividends and initiated a share buyback program, contributing to a stable stock price. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jun 03
Archer-Daniels-Midland: Agriculture Giant With Limited Near-Term Upside
Summary Archer-Daniels-Midland is one of the largest agricultural supply chain managers, having a well-established position in the industry. The company faced short-term challenges such as the agricultural product prices normalizing and an investigation into its accounting practices, which led to the CFO resigning. I believe pricing will continue to be a headwind in the short term and the long-term outlook is not attractive due to declining sweetener usage and the potential impacts of the weight-loss drugs. That is why I reiterate my "Hold" rating for ADM stock. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| ADM | US Food | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -0.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% |
| 1Y | 40.8% | -6.9% | 18.6% |
Return vs Industry: ADM exceeded the US Food industry which returned -6.9% over the past year.
Return vs Market: ADM exceeded the US Market which returned 18.6% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| ADM volatility | |
|---|---|
| ADM Average Weekly Movement | 3.8% |
| Food Industry Average Movement | 5.5% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.7% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: ADM has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: ADM's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1902 | 41,147 | Juan Luciano | www.adm.com |
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company provides human and animal nutrition ingredients and solutions in the United States, Switzerland, the Cayman Islands, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Ag Services and Oilseeds; Carbohydrate Solutions; and Nutrition. The company engages in the origination, merchandising, transportation, and storage of agricultural raw materials, as well as the crushing and processing of oilseeds, including soybeans and soft seeds, such as cottonseed, sunflower seed, canola, rapeseed, and flaxseed; produces and markets vegetable oils and oilseed protein meals used by food, feed, energy, and industrial customers; sale of crude and partially refined vegetable oils; supplies peanuts and peanut-derived ingredients; and manufactures cotton cellulose pulp.
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company Fundamentals Summary
| ADM fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$37.01b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$1.08b |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$80.58b |
34.2x
P/E Ratio0.5x
P/S RatioIs ADM overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| ADM income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$80.58b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$75.51b |
| Gross Profit | US$5.08b |
| Other Expenses | US$3.99b |
| Earnings | US$1.08b |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 2.24 |
| Gross Margin | 6.30% |
| Net Profit Margin | 1.34% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 40.4% |
How did ADM perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
2.7%
Current Dividend Yield92%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/06 06:05 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/02 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company is covered by 27 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Deborah Ciervo | Argus Research Company |
| Farooq Hamed | Barclays |
| Benjamin Theurer | Barclays |