Li Auto Future Growth

Future criteria checks 6/6

Li Auto is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 21.4% and 21.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 16.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 23.7% in 3 years.

Key information

21.4%

Earnings growth rate

16.9%

EPS growth rate

Auto earnings growth12.4%
Revenue growth rate21.9%
Future return on equity23.7%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated16 May 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Li Auto's Strategic Pivot: From Setbacks To Solutions

May 16

Li Auto: My Pick For The EV Market Will Likely Survive A Price War

May 08

We Think Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

Apr 28
We Think Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

Li Auto: The Stock Is Dirt Cheap

Apr 22

Should You Investigate Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) At US$30.84?

Apr 12
Should You Investigate Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) At US$30.84?

Buy Li Auto's Dip - Electrification Is Here To Stay

Mar 31

Returns At Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Are On The Way Up

Mar 28
Returns At Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Are On The Way Up

Li Auto Charges Ahead In Fourth Quarter As Slowdown Looms

Feb 27

Why We Are Still Not Convinced With Li Auto

Feb 20

Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

Feb 19
Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

Li Auto: Value Investment Buried In The Chaos

Feb 07

Estimating The Fair Value Of Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI)

Feb 04
Estimating The Fair Value Of Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI)

We Think Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

Jan 19
We Think Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

Should You Investigate Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) At US$35.27?

Dec 20
Should You Investigate Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) At US$35.27?

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI)

Dec 02
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI)

Party Time: Brokers Just Made Major Increases To Their Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Earnings Forecasts

Aug 09
Party Time: Brokers Just Made Major Increases To Their Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Earnings Forecasts

Benign Growth For Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Underpins Its Share Price

Apr 17
Benign Growth For Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Underpins Its Share Price

Is There An Opportunity With Li Auto Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LI) 45% Undervaluation?

Dec 28
Is There An Opportunity With Li Auto Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LI) 45% Undervaluation?

Li Auto September deliveries up 62.5% Y/Y, 10.6% M/M

Oct 01

Li Auto stock gains on early launch of highly-anticipated Li L8 SUV

Sep 22

Li Auto At Risk Of Market Cannibalization

Sep 16

Li Auto August deliveries down 52% Y/Y, second lowest delivery in this year

Sep 01

Some Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Analysts Just Made A Major Cut To Next Year's Estimates

Aug 20
Some Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) Analysts Just Made A Major Cut To Next Year's Estimates

Li Auto Q2 2022 Earnings Preview

Aug 12

NaaS Technology partners with Li Auto for providing new smart charging services

Jul 29

Li Auto June deliveries rise 68.9% Y/Y to 13,024; Q2 deliveries of 28,687 exceeds guidance

Jul 01

We Are Avoiding Li Auto Right Now

May 28

Statutory Profit Doesn't Reflect How Good Li Auto's (NASDAQ:LI) Earnings Are

May 18
Statutory Profit Doesn't Reflect How Good Li Auto's (NASDAQ:LI) Earnings Are

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:LI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026304,68725,56737,54747,37328
12/31/2025257,24120,15329,08042,74137
12/31/2024187,34013,48329,69734,21134
12/31/2023123,85111,70444,18650,694N/A
9/30/202399,7696,30332,80638,325N/A
6/30/202374,4321,83917,62223,310N/A
3/31/202354,512-1,0728,45213,327N/A
12/31/202245,287-2,0122,2527,380N/A
9/30/202238,257-1,9741,1746,292N/A
6/30/202236,690-3554,2978,970N/A
3/31/202232,997284,8289,248N/A
12/31/202127,010-3214,8968,340N/A
9/30/202120,536-5094,3166,325N/A
6/30/202115,272-8093,9015,085N/A
3/31/202112,180-9183,2204,129N/A
12/31/20209,457-8062,4653,140N/A
9/30/20205,594-1,982168867N/A
3/31/20201,136-3,034-2,319-1,463N/A
12/31/2019284-3,261-2,747-1,794N/A
9/30/2019N/A-2,702-2,743-1,680N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: LI's forecast earnings growth (21.4% per year) is above the savings rate (2.4%).

Earnings vs Market: LI's earnings (21.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (14.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: LI's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: LI's revenue (21.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: LI's revenue (21.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: LI's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (23.7%)


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