Stock Analysis

Retail investors are Merafe Resources Limited's (JSE:MRF) biggest owners and were rewarded after market cap rose by R325m last week

Published
JSE:MRF

Key Insights

A look at the shareholders of Merafe Resources Limited (JSE:MRF) can tell us which group is most powerful. The group holding the most number of shares in the company, around 34% to be precise, is retail investors. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

As a result, retail investors collectively scored the highest last week as the company hit R3.3b market cap following a 10% gain in the stock.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Merafe Resources.

View our latest analysis for Merafe Resources

JSE:MRF Ownership Breakdown June 14th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Merafe Resources?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

Merafe Resources already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at Merafe Resources' earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

JSE:MRF Earnings and Revenue Growth June 14th 2024

Hedge funds don't have many shares in Merafe Resources. The company's largest shareholder is Glencore plc, with ownership of 29%. The Industrial Development Corporation of South Africa Limited is the second largest shareholder owning 22% of common stock, and Ninety One UK Limited holds about 7.5% of the company stock.

A more detailed study of the shareholder registry showed us that 2 of the top shareholders have a considerable amount of ownership in the company, via their 51% stake.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. There is some analyst coverage of the stock, but it could still become more well known, with time.

Insider Ownership Of Merafe Resources

The definition of company insiders can be subjective and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our information suggests that Merafe Resources Limited insiders own under 1% of the company. It appears that the board holds about R14m worth of stock. This compares to a market capitalization of R3.3b. We generally like to see a board more invested. However it might be worth checking if those insiders have been buying.

General Public Ownership

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 34% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.

Public Company Ownership

We can see that public companies hold 29% of the Merafe Resources shares on issue. This may be a strategic interest and the two companies may have related business interests. It could be that they have de-merged. This holding is probably worth investigating further.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Merafe Resources , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.