Stock Analysis

Argent Industrial's (JSE:ART) five-year earnings growth trails the massive shareholder returns

Published
JSE:ART

Buying shares in the best businesses can build meaningful wealth for you and your family. While the best companies are hard to find, but they can generate massive returns over long periods. Just think about the savvy investors who held Argent Industrial Limited (JSE:ART) shares for the last five years, while they gained 311%. And this is just one example of the epic gains achieved by some long term investors. It's also good to see the share price up 25% over the last quarter.

Since it's been a strong week for Argent Industrial shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

See our latest analysis for Argent Industrial

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Over half a decade, Argent Industrial managed to grow its earnings per share at 27% a year. This EPS growth is reasonably close to the 33% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore one could conclude that sentiment towards the shares hasn't morphed very much. Indeed, it would appear the share price is reacting to the EPS.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

JSE:ART Earnings Per Share Growth February 11th 2024

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Argent Industrial, it has a TSR of 369% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Argent Industrial shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 31% over the last year. That's including the dividend. However, the TSR over five years, coming in at 36% per year, is even more impressive. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Argent Industrial better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Argent Industrial , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on South African exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.