Stock Analysis

Even With A 26% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding SuperCom Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:SPCB) Performance Completely

Published
NasdaqCM:SPCB

Those holding SuperCom Ltd. (NASDAQ:SPCB) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 54% share price drop in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, SuperCom may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x, considering almost half of all companies in the Electronic industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.9x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

View our latest analysis for SuperCom

NasdaqCM:SPCB Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 28th 2024

How SuperCom Has Been Performing

With its revenue growth in positive territory compared to the declining revenue of most other companies, SuperCom has been doing quite well of late. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to follow the rest of the industry downwards, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think SuperCom's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is SuperCom's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like SuperCom's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 5.2%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 142% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 12% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.0% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's peculiar that SuperCom's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What Does SuperCom's P/S Mean For Investors?

SuperCom's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

A look at SuperCom's revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 6 warning signs for SuperCom (4 are a bit concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.