Stock Analysis

Why We're Not Concerned About Avantor, Inc.'s (NYSE:AVTR) Share Price

Published
NYSE:AVTR

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider Avantor, Inc. (NYSE:AVTR) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 48.8x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Avantor has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Avantor

NYSE:AVTR Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 2nd 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Avantor will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

Avantor's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 15%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year EPS growth is still a noteworthy 15% in total. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 26% per annum over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 10% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Avantor is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Avantor maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Avantor that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Avantor. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.