Stock Analysis

Investors Interested In Horace Mann Educators Corporation's (NYSE:HMN) Earnings

NYSE:HMN
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Horace Mann Educators Corporation's (NYSE:HMN) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 33.9x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 16x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Recent times have been pleasing for Horace Mann Educators as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Horace Mann Educators

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:HMN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 25th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Horace Mann Educators.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Horace Mann Educators would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 129%. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 65% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 190% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 12% growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why Horace Mann Educators is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Horace Mann Educators' P/E?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Horace Mann Educators maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Horace Mann Educators (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Horace Mann Educators, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Horace Mann Educators is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.