Stock Analysis

Here's Why Baxter International (NYSE:BAX) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

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NYSE:BAX

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Baxter International Inc. (NYSE:BAX) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Baxter International

How Much Debt Does Baxter International Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Baxter International had US$16.5b in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has US$5.79b in cash leading to net debt of about US$10.7b.

NYSE:BAX Debt to Equity History January 28th 2024

A Look At Baxter International's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Baxter International had liabilities of US$6.21b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$16.3b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$5.79b as well as receivables valued at US$2.56b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$14.1b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its very significant market capitalization of US$19.7b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Baxter International's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Baxter International's debt is 3.5 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.7 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Fortunately, Baxter International grew its EBIT by 2.4% in the last year, slowly shrinking its debt relative to earnings. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Baxter International's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Baxter International recorded free cash flow worth 58% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

While Baxter International's interest cover makes us cautious about it, its track record of managing its debt, based on its EBITDA, is no better. But its not so bad at converting EBIT to free cash flow. We should also note that Medical Equipment industry companies like Baxter International commonly do use debt without problems. We think that Baxter International's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Baxter International (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.