Stock Analysis

Would AxoGen (NASDAQ:AXGN) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

Published
NasdaqCM:AXGN

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, AxoGen, Inc. (NASDAQ:AXGN) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for AxoGen

What Is AxoGen's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that AxoGen had US$49.5m in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it also had US$21.1m in cash, and so its net debt is US$28.4m.

NasdaqCM:AXGN Debt to Equity History August 20th 2024

How Healthy Is AxoGen's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that AxoGen had liabilities of US$23.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$69.8m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$21.1m in cash and US$25.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$47.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded AxoGen shares are worth a total of US$514.1m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if AxoGen can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year AxoGen wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 17%, to US$173m. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, AxoGen had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at US$12m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$15m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with AxoGen , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.