Stock Analysis

Does Southwestern Energy (NYSE:SWN) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NYSE:SWN
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Southwestern Energy Company (NYSE:SWN) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Southwestern Energy

How Much Debt Does Southwestern Energy Carry?

As you can see below, Southwestern Energy had US$4.04b of debt at June 2023, down from US$5.09b a year prior. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:SWN Debt to Equity History October 23rd 2023

How Strong Is Southwestern Energy's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Southwestern Energy had liabilities of US$1.91b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$4.60b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$25.0m and US$598.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$5.89b.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$7.94b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Southwestern Energy's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Southwestern Energy has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.57. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 34.8 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Although Southwestern Energy made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated US$5.7b in EBIT over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Southwestern Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the last year, Southwestern Energy reported free cash flow worth 17% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

Neither Southwestern Energy's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. We think that Southwestern Energy's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Southwestern Energy is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those don't sit too well with us...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Southwestern Energy is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.