Stock Analysis

Hamilton Lane Incorporated (NASDAQ:HLNE) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

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NasdaqGS:HLNE

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 41.2x Hamilton Lane Incorporated (NASDAQ:HLNE) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 18x and even P/E's lower than 10x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Recent times have been pleasing for Hamilton Lane as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Hamilton Lane

NasdaqGS:HLNE Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 30th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Hamilton Lane.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Hamilton Lane's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 49% gain to the company's bottom line. EPS has also lifted 18% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 11% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 15% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we find it concerning that Hamilton Lane is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Hamilton Lane currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Hamilton Lane that you need to be mindful of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hamilton Lane might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.