Stock Analysis

Those who invested in Performance Food Group (NYSE:PFGC) three years ago are up 65%

Published
NYSE:PFGC

By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. Just take a look at Performance Food Group Company (NYSE:PFGC), which is up 65%, over three years, soundly beating the market return of 12% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 24% in the last year.

So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 3 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.

See our latest analysis for Performance Food Group

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Performance Food Group was able to grow its EPS at 109% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. The average annual share price increase of 18% is actually lower than the EPS growth. So it seems investors have become more cautious about the company, over time.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

NYSE:PFGC Earnings Per Share Growth September 6th 2024

It is of course excellent to see how Performance Food Group has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. This free interactive report on Performance Food Group's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

A Different Perspective

Performance Food Group shareholders have received returns of 24% over twelve months, which isn't far from the general market return. Most would be happy with a gain, and it helps that the year's return is actually better than the average return over five years, which was 9%. It is possible that management foresight will bring growth well into the future, even if the share price slows down. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Performance Food Group better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Performance Food Group you should be aware of.

We will like Performance Food Group better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.