Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Moog Inc.'s (NYSE:MOG.A) P/E

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NYSE:MOG.A

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider Moog Inc. (NYSE:MOG.A) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 31.9x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Moog has been doing quite well of late. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Moog

NYSE:MOG.A Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 23rd 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Moog.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

Moog's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 26%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 359% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 23% over the next year. With the market only predicted to deliver 15%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Moog is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Moog's P/E

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Moog's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Moog that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Moog. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.