Stock Analysis

Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on Zhen Ding Technology Holding Limited (TWSE:4958) Current Share Price Momentum?

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TWSE:4958

Zhen Ding Technology Holding (TWSE:4958) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 12% over the last three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. In this article, we decided to focus on Zhen Ding Technology Holding's ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Zhen Ding Technology Holding

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Zhen Ding Technology Holding is:

7.6% = NT$11b ÷ NT$139b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every NT$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of NT$0.08.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Zhen Ding Technology Holding's Earnings Growth And 7.6% ROE

On the face of it, Zhen Ding Technology Holding's ROE is not much to talk about. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 8.7%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. Still, Zhen Ding Technology Holding has seen a flat net income growth over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is not particularly great to begin with. So that could also be one of the reasons behind the company's flat growth in earnings.

We then compared Zhen Ding Technology Holding's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 12% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

TWSE:4958 Past Earnings Growth September 2nd 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Zhen Ding Technology Holding's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Zhen Ding Technology Holding Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 46% (meaning the company retains54% of profits) in the last three-year period, Zhen Ding Technology Holding's earnings growth was more or les flat. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

In addition, Zhen Ding Technology Holding has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 45% of its profits over the next three years. As a result, Zhen Ding Technology Holding's ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 9.1% for future ROE.

Conclusion

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Zhen Ding Technology Holding's performance. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.