Stock Analysis

Optimistic Investors Push Formosan Union Chemical Corp. (TWSE:1709) Shares Up 28% But Growth Is Lacking

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TWSE:1709

Formosan Union Chemical Corp. (TWSE:1709) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 6.2% isn't as impressive.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Formosan Union Chemical's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 24.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Taiwan, where the median P/E ratio is around 24x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Formosan Union Chemical over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Formosan Union Chemical

TWSE:1709 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 19th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Formosan Union Chemical will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Growth For Formosan Union Chemical?

Formosan Union Chemical's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 40%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 29% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 24% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Formosan Union Chemical's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Formosan Union Chemical's P/E

Formosan Union Chemical's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Formosan Union Chemical revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Formosan Union Chemical that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Formosan Union Chemical. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Formosan Union Chemical is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Formosan Union Chemical is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com