Stock Analysis

Revenues Not Telling The Story For Forest Water Environmental Engineering Co., Ltd. (TWSE:8473) After Shares Rise 29%

Published
TWSE:8473

Forest Water Environmental Engineering Co., Ltd. (TWSE:8473) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 29% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 88%.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Forest Water Environmental Engineering's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Commercial Services industry in Taiwan, where the median P/S ratio is around 2.8x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Forest Water Environmental Engineering

TWSE:8473 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 19th 2024

What Does Forest Water Environmental Engineering's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Forest Water Environmental Engineering over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Forest Water Environmental Engineering will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Forest Water Environmental Engineering's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Forest Water Environmental Engineering would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 15%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 24% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 14% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Forest Water Environmental Engineering is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What Does Forest Water Environmental Engineering's P/S Mean For Investors?

Forest Water Environmental Engineering's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We find it unexpected that Forest Water Environmental Engineering trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Forest Water Environmental Engineering (including 2 which can't be ignored).

If you're unsure about the strength of Forest Water Environmental Engineering's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Forest Water Environmental Engineering is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Forest Water Environmental Engineering is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com