Stock Analysis

Don't Buy Avi-Tech Holdings Limited (SGX:1R6) For Its Next Dividend Without Doing These Checks

Published
SGX:1R6

Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Avi-Tech Holdings Limited (SGX:1R6) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 3 days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before a company's record date, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. In other words, investors can purchase Avi-Tech Holdings' shares before the 9th of November in order to be eligible for the dividend, which will be paid on the 28th of November.

The company's next dividend payment will be S$0.01 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of S$0.018 per share. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Avi-Tech Holdings stock has a trailing yield of around 7.0% on the current share price of SGD0.25. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Avi-Tech Holdings's dividend is reliable and sustainable. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

See our latest analysis for Avi-Tech Holdings

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Avi-Tech Holdings paid out 92% of its earnings, which is more than we're comfortable with, unless there are mitigating circumstances. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether Avi-Tech Holdings generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. The company paid out 104% of its free cash flow over the last year, which we think is outside the ideal range for most businesses. Cash flows are usually much more volatile than earnings, so this could be a temporary effect - but we'd generally want to look more closely here.

Avi-Tech Holdings does have a large net cash position on the balance sheet, which could fund large dividends for a time, if the company so chose. Still, smart investors know that it is better to assess dividends relative to the cash and profit generated by the business. Paying dividends out of cash on the balance sheet is not long-term sustainable.

As Avi-Tech Holdings's dividend was not well covered by either earnings or cash flow, we would be concerned that this dividend could be at risk over the long term.

Click here to see how much of its profit Avi-Tech Holdings paid out over the last 12 months.

SGX:1R6 Historic Dividend November 5th 2023

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. Readers will understand then, why we're concerned to see Avi-Tech Holdings's earnings per share have dropped 7.7% a year over the past five years. When earnings per share fall, the maximum amount of dividends that can be paid also falls.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Avi-Tech Holdings has delivered an average of 4.3% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past nine years of dividend payments. The only way to pay higher dividends when earnings are shrinking is either to pay out a larger percentage of profits, spend cash from the balance sheet, or borrow the money. Avi-Tech Holdings is already paying out 92% of its profits, and with shrinking earnings we think it's unlikely that this dividend will grow quickly in the future.

Final Takeaway

Is Avi-Tech Holdings worth buying for its dividend? Not only are earnings per share declining, but Avi-Tech Holdings is paying out an uncomfortably high percentage of both its earnings and cashflow to shareholders as dividends. Unless there are grounds to believe a turnaround is imminent, this is one of the least attractive dividend stocks under this analysis. It's not that we think Avi-Tech Holdings is a bad company, but these characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance.

So if you're still interested in Avi-Tech Holdings despite it's poor dividend qualities, you should be well informed on some of the risks facing this stock. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Avi-Tech Holdings (of which 2 make us uncomfortable!) you should know about.

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.