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Hiap Seng Industries Limited (SGX:1L2) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 33% Price Plummet
Hiap Seng Industries Limited (SGX:1L2) shares have retraced a considerable 33% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.
Although its price has dipped substantially, there still wouldn't be many who think Hiap Seng Industries' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Singapore's Construction industry is similar at about 0.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Check out our latest analysis for Hiap Seng Industries
How Has Hiap Seng Industries Performed Recently?
Hiap Seng Industries certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the share price, and thus the P/S ratio, from rising. Those who are bullish on Hiap Seng Industries will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hiap Seng Industries will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Hiap Seng Industries' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 34% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 15% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 12% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Hiap Seng Industries is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
What Does Hiap Seng Industries' P/S Mean For Investors?
Following Hiap Seng Industries' share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
The fact that Hiap Seng Industries currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Hiap Seng Industries (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you need to be mindful of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Hiap Seng Industries' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hiap Seng Industries might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SGX:1L2
Hiap Seng Industries
An investment holding company, engages in the provision of engineering, procurement, construction, and plant maintenance services for oil and gas, and energy sectors.