Stock Analysis

Investor Optimism Abounds Atlas Copco AB (STO:ATCO A) But Growth Is Lacking

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OM:ATCO A

Atlas Copco AB's (STO:ATCO A) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 30x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Sweden, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 23x and even P/E's below 15x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Atlas Copco has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Atlas Copco

OM:ATCO A Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 18th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Atlas Copco's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Atlas Copco's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Atlas Copco's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 13%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 78% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 8.7% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 19% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we find it concerning that Atlas Copco is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Atlas Copco's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Atlas Copco with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

You might be able to find a better investment than Atlas Copco. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.