Stock Analysis

MDI Energia S.A.'s (WSE:MDI) Shares Lagging The Industry But So Is The Business

Published
WSE:MDI

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x MDI Energia S.A. (WSE:MDI) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Renewable Energy companies in Poland have P/S ratios greater than 2.5x and even P/S higher than 6x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for MDI Energia

WSE:MDI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 8th 2025

How Has MDI Energia Performed Recently?

MDI Energia has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this respectable revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on MDI Energia will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For MDI Energia?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, MDI Energia would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 15%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 24% overall drop in revenue. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 1,550% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we are not surprised that MDI Energia is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Bottom Line On MDI Energia's P/S

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

It's no surprise that MDI Energia maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You need to take note of risks, for example - MDI Energia has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.