Stock Analysis

Avance Gas Holding Ltd's (OB:AGAS) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?

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OB:AGAS

With its stock down 33% over the past month, it is easy to disregard Avance Gas Holding (OB:AGAS). However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Avance Gas Holding's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

View our latest analysis for Avance Gas Holding

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Avance Gas Holding is:

57% = US$294m ÷ US$519m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each NOK1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made NOK0.57 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Avance Gas Holding's Earnings Growth And 57% ROE

To begin with, Avance Gas Holding has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Additionally, the company's ROE is higher compared to the industry average of 22% which is quite remarkable. As a result, Avance Gas Holding's exceptional 38% net income growth seen over the past five years, doesn't come as a surprise.

We then performed a comparison between Avance Gas Holding's net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 33% in the same 5-year period.

OB:AGAS Past Earnings Growth December 20th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Avance Gas Holding fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Avance Gas Holding Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 94% (implying that it keeps only 6.1% of profits) for Avance Gas Holding suggests that the company's growth wasn't really hampered despite it returning most of the earnings to its shareholders.

Besides, Avance Gas Holding has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders.

Summary

In total, it does look like Avance Gas Holding has some positive aspects to its business. Especially the growth in earnings which was backed by an impressive ROE. Still, the high ROE could have been even more beneficial to investors had the company been reinvesting more of its profits. As highlighted earlier, the current reinvestment rate appears to be negligible. Having said that, on studying current analyst estimates, we were concerned to see that while the company has grown its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to shrink in the future. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.