Stock Analysis

AKVA group ASA (OB:AKVA) Just Reported And Analysts Have Been Lifting Their Price Targets

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OB:AKVA

Last week, you might have seen that AKVA group ASA (OB:AKVA) released its yearly result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 5.5% to kr62.40 in the past week. It was a credible result overall, with revenues of kr3.6b and statutory earnings per share of kr3.09 both in line with analyst estimates, showing that AKVA group is executing in line with expectations. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for AKVA group

OB:AKVA Earnings and Revenue Growth February 19th 2025

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from AKVA group's three analysts is for revenues of kr4.12b in 2025. This would reflect a meaningful 14% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to climb 12% to kr3.47. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of kr4.10b and earnings per share (EPS) of kr3.46 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

The consensus price target rose 6.4% to kr83.33despite there being no meaningful change to earnings estimates. It could be that the analystsare reflecting the predictability of AKVA group's earnings by assigning a price premium. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic AKVA group analyst has a price target of kr90.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at kr80.00. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that AKVA group's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 14% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 3.5% p.a. over the past five years. Other similar companies in the industry (with analyst coverage) are also forecast to grow their revenue at 12% per year. AKVA group is expected to grow at about the same rate as its industry, so it's not clear that we can draw any conclusions from its growth relative to competitors.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for AKVA group going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for AKVA group you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.