Stock Analysis
Investors Appear Satisfied With AT Systematization Berhad's (KLSE:AT) Prospects As Shares Rocket 100%
AT Systematization Berhad (KLSE:AT) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 100% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 33% over that time.
Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that AT Systematization Berhad's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Machinery industry in Malaysia, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Check out our latest analysis for AT Systematization Berhad
How AT Systematization Berhad Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at AT Systematization Berhad over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for AT Systematization Berhad, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like AT Systematization Berhad's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 26% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 89% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 25% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we can see why AT Systematization Berhad is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on assuming the company will continue keeping a low profile.
The Final Word
AT Systematization Berhad's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we've seen, AT Systematization Berhad's three-year revenue trends seem to be contributing to its P/S, given they look similar to current industry expectations. With previous revenue trends that keep up with the current industry outlook, it's hard to justify the company's P/S ratio deviating much from it's current point. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for AT Systematization Berhad you should be aware of, and 2 of them are concerning.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on AT Systematization Berhad, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KLSE:ERDASAN
Erdasan Group Berhad
An investment holding company, designs, manufactures, and fabricates industrial automation systems, machinery, and industrial and engineering parts.