Stock Analysis
- Mexico
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- Transportation
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- BMV:GMXT *
The past year for GMéxico Transportes. de (BMV:GMXT) investors has not been profitable
Investors can approximate the average market return by buying an index fund. But if you buy individual stocks, you can do both better or worse than that. Unfortunately the GMéxico Transportes, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:GMXT) share price slid 18% over twelve months. That's disappointing when you consider the market declined 7.3%. At least the damage isn't so bad if you look at the last three years, since the stock is down 13% in that time.
So let's have a look and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.
View our latest analysis for GMéxico Transportes. de
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
Unfortunately GMéxico Transportes. de reported an EPS drop of 9.1% for the last year. The share price decline of 18% is actually more than the EPS drop. Unsurprisingly, given the lack of EPS growth, the market seems to be more cautious about the stock.
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of GMéxico Transportes. de, it has a TSR of -13% for the last 1 year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
We regret to report that GMéxico Transportes. de shareholders are down 13% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 7.3%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 8% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand GMéxico Transportes. de better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for GMéxico Transportes. de you should know about.
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Mexican exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BMV:GMXT *
GMéxico Transportes. de
Provides logistics and ground transportation solutions in Mexico.