Stock Analysis

Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Grupo México, S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:GMEXICOB) Shares

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BMV:GMEXICO B

It's not a stretch to say that Grupo México, S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:GMEXICOB) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Mexico, where the median P/E ratio is around 12x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Grupo México. de as its earnings have been rising slower than most other companies. It might be that many expect the uninspiring earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

Check out our latest analysis for Grupo México. de

pe-multiple-vs-industry
BMV:GMEXICO B Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 13th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Grupo México. de will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Some Growth For Grupo México. de?

Grupo México. de's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Whilst it's an improvement, it wasn't enough to get the company out of the hole it was in, with earnings down 15% overall from three years ago. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 7.3% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 16% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

In light of this, it's curious that Grupo México. de's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What We Can Learn From Grupo México. de's P/E?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Grupo México. de's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Grupo México. de you should know about.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.