Stock Analysis

If You Had Bought Grupo Cementos de Chihuahua. de (BMV:GCC) Shares Five Years Ago You'd Have Earned 169% Returns

BMV:GCC *
Source: Shutterstock

The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. For instance, the price of Grupo Cementos de Chihuahua, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:GCC) stock is up an impressive 169% over the last five years. On top of that, the share price is up 18% in about a quarter. But this could be related to the strong market, which is up 15% in the last three months.

See our latest analysis for Grupo Cementos de Chihuahua. de

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Over half a decade, Grupo Cementos de Chihuahua. de managed to grow its earnings per share at 26% a year. So the EPS growth rate is rather close to the annualized share price gain of 22% per year. This indicates that investor sentiment towards the company has not changed a great deal. Indeed, it would appear the share price is reacting to the EPS.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
BMV:GCC * Earnings Per Share Growth December 10th 2020

It is of course excellent to see how Grupo Cementos de Chihuahua. de has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. Take a more thorough look at Grupo Cementos de Chihuahua. de's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Grupo Cementos de Chihuahua. de, it has a TSR of 179% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Grupo Cementos de Chihuahua. de shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 16% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. However, that falls short of the 23% TSR per annum it has made for shareholders, each year, over five years. Potential buyers might understandably feel they've missed the opportunity, but it's always possible business is still firing on all cylinders. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Grupo Cementos de Chihuahua. de that you should be aware of.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on MX exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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