Stock Analysis

Painful week for retail investors invested in Tobu Railway Co., Ltd. (TSE:9001) after 3.4% drop, institutions also suffered losses

TSE:9001
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Key Insights

  • Significant control over Tobu Railway by retail investors implies that the general public has more power to influence management and governance-related decisions
  • 46% of the business is held by the top 25 shareholders
  • Institutional ownership in Tobu Railway is 47%

If you want to know who really controls Tobu Railway Co., Ltd. (TSE:9001), then you'll have to look at the makeup of its share registry. With 51% stake, retail investors possess the maximum shares in the company. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).

While institutions, who own 47% shares weren’t spared from last week’s JP¥23b market cap drop, retail investors as a group suffered the maximum losses

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Tobu Railway.

Check out our latest analysis for Tobu Railway

ownership-breakdown
TSE:9001 Ownership Breakdown April 29th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Tobu Railway?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in Tobu Railway. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at Tobu Railway's earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSE:9001 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 29th 2024

Tobu Railway is not owned by hedge funds. BlackRock, Inc. is currently the largest shareholder, with 7.4% of shares outstanding. Meanwhile, the second and third largest shareholders, hold 4.2% and 4.1%, of the shares outstanding, respectively.

A deeper look at our ownership data shows that the top 25 shareholders collectively hold less than half of the register, suggesting a large group of small holders where no single shareholder has a majority.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.

Insider Ownership Of Tobu Railway

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our information suggests that Tobu Railway Co., Ltd. insiders own under 1% of the company. Keep in mind that it's a big company, and the insiders own JP¥1.4b worth of shares. The absolute value might be more important than the proportional share. Arguably, recent buying and selling is just as important to consider. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, collectively holds 51% of Tobu Railway shares. This size of ownership gives investors from the general public some collective power. They can and probably do influence decisions on executive compensation, dividend policies and proposed business acquisitions.

Next Steps:

I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks for example - Tobu Railway has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Tobu Railway is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.