Stock Analysis
Power Solutions (TSE:4450) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues
Power Solutions, Ltd.'s (TSE:4450) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. However the statutory profit number doesn't tell the whole story, and we have found some factors which might be of concern to shareholders.
See our latest analysis for Power Solutions
Zooming In On Power Solutions' Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
Power Solutions has an accrual ratio of 0.55 for the year to June 2024. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of JP¥685m despite its profit of JP¥362.0m, mentioned above. We saw that FCF was JP¥385m a year ago though, so Power Solutions has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. The good news for shareholders is that Power Solutions' accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Power Solutions.
Our Take On Power Solutions' Profit Performance
As we discussed above, we think Power Solutions' earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Power Solutions' underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. The good news is that, its earnings per share increased by 33% in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Power Solutions (1 can't be ignored) you should be familiar with.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Power Solutions' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:4450
Power Solutions
Provides corporate IT services in Japan.