Stock Analysis
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after investigating AMIYA (TSE:4258), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on AMIYA is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.18 = JP¥364m ÷ (JP¥3.8b - JP¥1.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).
So, AMIYA has an ROCE of 18%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Software industry average of 14% it's much better.
Check out our latest analysis for AMIYA
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings , check out these free graphs detailing revenue and cash flow performance of AMIYA.
How Are Returns Trending?
Things have been pretty stable at AMIYA, with its capital employed and returns on that capital staying somewhat the same for the last . This tells us the company isn't reinvesting in itself, so it's plausible that it's past the growth phase. So don't be surprised if AMIYA doesn't end up being a multi-bagger in a few years time.
On a separate but related note, it's important to know that AMIYA has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 46%, which we'd consider pretty high. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.
Our Take On AMIYA's ROCE
We can conclude that in regards to AMIYA's returns on capital employed and the trends, there isn't much change to report on. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 66% over the last year. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.
If you'd like to know more about AMIYA, we've spotted 3 warning signs, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.
While AMIYA may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:4258
AMIYA
Develops, manufactures, and sells cybersecurity products and services.