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Subdued Growth No Barrier To Bunkyodo Group Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:9978) With Shares Advancing 52%
Bunkyodo Group Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:9978) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 52% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 72% in the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, Bunkyodo Group Holdings may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 28x, since almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios under 14x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Bunkyodo Group Holdings as its earnings have been rising very briskly. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Bunkyodo Group Holdings
How Is Bunkyodo Group Holdings' Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Bunkyodo Group Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 50% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 76% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 9.8% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's alarming that Bunkyodo Group Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Bunkyodo Group Holdings' P/E
Shares in Bunkyodo Group Holdings have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Bunkyodo Group Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Bunkyodo Group Holdings (2 are potentially serious!) that we have uncovered.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:9978
Bunkyodo Group Holdings
Operates various wholesale and retail stores in Japan.