Stock Analysis
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- TSE:8801
What Mitsui Fudosan Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:8801) P/E Is Not Telling You
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.9x Mitsui Fudosan Co., Ltd. (TSE:8801) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios under 14x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Mitsui Fudosan certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Mitsui Fudosan
Is There Enough Growth For Mitsui Fudosan?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Mitsui Fudosan's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 16%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 79% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eleven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 8.3% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 9.6% per annum, which is not materially different.
In light of this, it's curious that Mitsui Fudosan's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From Mitsui Fudosan's P/E?
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Mitsui Fudosan currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Mitsui Fudosan you should be aware of, and 2 of them make us uncomfortable.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:8801
Mitsui Fudosan
Operates as a real estate company in Japan.