Stock Analysis

The Returns On Capital At Asahi Kasei (TSE:3407) Don't Inspire Confidence

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TSE:3407

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Having said that, from a first glance at Asahi Kasei (TSE:3407) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Asahi Kasei:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.051 = JP¥141b ÷ (JP¥3.7t - JP¥915b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

So, Asahi Kasei has an ROCE of 5.1%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Chemicals industry average of 6.5%.

See our latest analysis for Asahi Kasei

TSE:3407 Return on Capital Employed July 27th 2024

In the above chart we have measured Asahi Kasei's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Asahi Kasei .

What Can We Tell From Asahi Kasei's ROCE Trend?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Asahi Kasei, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 11%, but since then they've fallen to 5.1%. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.

The Key Takeaway

In summary, Asahi Kasei is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. And investors may be recognizing these trends since the stock has only returned a total of 21% to shareholders over the last five years. As a result, if you're hunting for a multi-bagger, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.

One more thing to note, we've identified 2 warning signs with Asahi Kasei and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

While Asahi Kasei isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.