Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Noritsu Koki (TSE:7744) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

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TSE:7744

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Noritsu Koki Co., Ltd. (TSE:7744) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Noritsu Koki

What Is Noritsu Koki's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Noritsu Koki had debt of JP¥36.0b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from JP¥41.2b over a year. But on the other hand it also has JP¥88.5b in cash, leading to a JP¥52.5b net cash position.

TSE:7744 Debt to Equity History January 13th 2025

How Strong Is Noritsu Koki's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Noritsu Koki had liabilities of JP¥32.2b falling due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥42.9b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥88.5b and JP¥16.6b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has JP¥30.0b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that Noritsu Koki is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Noritsu Koki has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

And we also note warmly that Noritsu Koki grew its EBIT by 12% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Noritsu Koki's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Noritsu Koki may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Noritsu Koki barely recorded positive free cash flow, in total. While many companies do operate at break-even, we prefer see substantial free cash flow, especially if a it already has dead.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Noritsu Koki has net cash of JP¥52.5b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. On top of that, it increased its EBIT by 12% in the last twelve months. So we don't have any problem with Noritsu Koki's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Noritsu Koki , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.