Stock Analysis

Seiko Electric (TSE:6653) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of

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TSE:6653

Unsurprisingly, Seiko Electric Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:6653) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings report. We did some analysis and think that investors are missing some details hidden beneath the profit numbers.

View our latest analysis for Seiko Electric

TSE:6653 Earnings and Revenue History February 12th 2025

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. As it happens, Seiko Electric issued 11% more new shares over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. You can see a chart of Seiko Electric's EPS by clicking here.

A Look At The Impact Of Seiko Electric's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)

As you can see above, Seiko Electric has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 45% over three years. And the 28% profit boost in the last year certainly seems impressive at first glance. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 26% in that time. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.

Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So Seiko Electric shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Finally, we should also consider the fact that unusual items boosted Seiko Electric's net profit by JP¥482m over the last year. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If Seiko Electric doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

Our Take On Seiko Electric's Profit Performance

To sum it all up, Seiko Electric got a nice boost to profit from unusual items; without that, its statutory results would have looked worse. And furthermore, it went and issued plenty of new shares, ensuring that each shareholder (who did not tip more money in) now owns a smaller proportion of the company. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Seiko Electric's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example - Seiko Electric has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Our examination of Seiko Electric has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.