Stock Analysis
Investors Give Hamai Company Limited (TSE:6131) Shares A 36% Hiding
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Hamai Company Limited (TSE:6131) share price has dived 36% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 36% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, Hamai's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 3.7x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 14x and even P/E's above 21x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
The earnings growth achieved at Hamai over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Hamai
How Is Hamai's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Hamai's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 10% gain to the company's bottom line. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see EPS up by 76% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 9.8% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
With this information, we find it odd that Hamai is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Bottom Line On Hamai's P/E
Having almost fallen off a cliff, Hamai's share price has pulled its P/E way down as well. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Hamai currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Hamai (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
You might be able to find a better investment than Hamai. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hamai might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:6131
Hamai
Manufactures and sells machine tools and parts in Japan and internationally.