Stock Analysis
The board of Nippon Carbon Co., Ltd. (TSE:5302) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥100.00 per share on the 29th of March. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 4.6%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.
View our latest analysis for Nippon Carbon
Nippon Carbon's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. The last payment was quite easily covered by earnings, but it made up 2,832% of cash flows. While the company may be more focused on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business at this time, we think that a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 11.1% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 54% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
Nippon Carbon Has A Solid Track Record
The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥50.00 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥200.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 15% over that duration. So, dividends have been growing pretty quickly, and even more impressively, they haven't experienced any notable falls during this period.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. However, initial appearances might be deceiving. Earnings per share has been sinking by 19% over the last five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future. Over the next year, however, earnings are actually predicted to rise, but we would still be cautious until a track record of earnings growth can be built.
Our Thoughts On Nippon Carbon's Dividend
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Nippon Carbon's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for Nippon Carbon that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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About TSE:5302
Nippon Carbon
Engages in the manufacture and sale of carbon products in Japan, China, and internationally.