Stock Analysis

We Think Penta-Ocean Construction (TSE:1893) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

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TSE:1893

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Penta-Ocean Construction Co., Ltd. (TSE:1893) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Penta-Ocean Construction

What Is Penta-Ocean Construction's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Penta-Ocean Construction had JP¥127.5b of debt, up from JP¥99.5b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have JP¥55.2b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about JP¥72.3b.

TSE:1893 Debt to Equity History September 30th 2024

How Strong Is Penta-Ocean Construction's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Penta-Ocean Construction had liabilities of JP¥311.8b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥79.2b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥55.2b as well as receivables valued at JP¥332.1b due within 12 months. So these liquid assets roughly match the total liabilities.

Of course, Penta-Ocean Construction has a market capitalization of JP¥180.1b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

We'd say that Penta-Ocean Construction's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 1.9), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its commanding EBIT of 20.3 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Notably, Penta-Ocean Construction's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 316% on last year. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Penta-Ocean Construction can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Penta-Ocean Construction saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Happily, Penta-Ocean Construction's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. All these things considered, it appears that Penta-Ocean Construction can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Penta-Ocean Construction you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.